Aristotle Funds Series Fund Market Value

ARILX Fund   14.29  0.02  0.14%   
Aristotle Funds' market value is the price at which a share of Aristotle Funds trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aristotle Funds Series investors about its performance. Aristotle Funds is trading at 14.29 as of the 20th of December 2024; that is 0.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aristotle Funds Series and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aristotle Funds over a given investment horizon. Check out Aristotle Funds Correlation, Aristotle Funds Volatility and Aristotle Funds Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aristotle Funds.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aristotle Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aristotle Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aristotle Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aristotle Funds 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aristotle Funds' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aristotle Funds.
0.00
08/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 1 day
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aristotle Funds on August 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aristotle Funds Series or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aristotle Funds over 120 days. Aristotle Funds is related to or competes with Aristotle Funds, Aristotle International, Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Funds, Aristotle Value, Aristotlesaul Global, and Aristotle Funds. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities More

Aristotle Funds Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aristotle Funds' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aristotle Funds Series upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aristotle Funds Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aristotle Funds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aristotle Funds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aristotle Funds historical prices to predict the future Aristotle Funds' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4214.3015.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4614.3415.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3714.2515.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4114.7515.09
Details

Aristotle Funds Series Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aristotle Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aristotle Funds Series secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0409, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0409% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aristotle Funds Series, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aristotle Funds' Downside Deviation of 1.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.0516, and Mean Deviation of 0.6007 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0358%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0935, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aristotle Funds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aristotle Funds is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Aristotle Funds Series has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aristotle Funds time series from 22nd of August 2024 to 21st of October 2024 and 21st of October 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aristotle Funds Series price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Aristotle Funds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Aristotle Funds Series lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aristotle Funds mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aristotle Funds' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aristotle Funds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aristotle Funds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aristotle Funds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aristotle Funds mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aristotle Funds mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aristotle Funds mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aristotle Funds Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aristotle Funds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aristotle Funds mutual fund have on its future price. Aristotle Funds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aristotle Funds autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aristotle Funds mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aristotle Funds Series.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Aristotle Mutual Fund

Aristotle Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aristotle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aristotle with respect to the benefits of owning Aristotle Funds security.
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