Archi Indonesia (Indonesia) Market Value

ARCI Stock   278.00  26.00  10.32%   
Archi Indonesia's market value is the price at which a share of Archi Indonesia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Archi Indonesia Tbk investors about its performance. Archi Indonesia is selling for 278.00 as of the 16th of March 2025. This is a 10.32 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 258.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Archi Indonesia Tbk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Archi Indonesia over a given investment horizon. Check out Archi Indonesia Correlation, Archi Indonesia Volatility and Archi Indonesia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Archi Indonesia.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Archi Indonesia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archi Indonesia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archi Indonesia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Archi Indonesia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Archi Indonesia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Archi Indonesia.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Archi Indonesia on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Archi Indonesia Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Archi Indonesia over 90 days. Archi Indonesia is related to or competes with Triputra Agro, Berkah Beton, PAM Mineral, PT Bukalapak, and Cemindo Gemilang. More

Archi Indonesia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Archi Indonesia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Archi Indonesia Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Archi Indonesia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Archi Indonesia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Archi Indonesia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Archi Indonesia historical prices to predict the future Archi Indonesia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
275.51278.00280.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
223.89226.38305.80
Details

Archi Indonesia Tbk Backtested Returns

As of now, Archi Stock is very steady. Archi Indonesia Tbk secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0577, which signifies that the company had a 0.0577 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Archi Indonesia Tbk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Archi Indonesia's risk adjusted performance of 0.0405, and Mean Deviation of 1.75 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Archi Indonesia has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Archi Indonesia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Archi Indonesia is expected to be smaller as well. Archi Indonesia Tbk right now shows a risk of 2.49%. Please confirm Archi Indonesia Tbk semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Archi Indonesia Tbk will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.3  

Weak reverse predictability

Archi Indonesia Tbk has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Archi Indonesia time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Archi Indonesia Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Archi Indonesia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance86.91

Archi Indonesia Tbk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Archi Indonesia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Archi Indonesia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Archi Indonesia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Archi Indonesia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Archi Indonesia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Archi Indonesia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Archi Indonesia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Archi Indonesia stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Archi Indonesia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Archi Indonesia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Archi Indonesia stock have on its future price. Archi Indonesia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Archi Indonesia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Archi Indonesia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Archi Indonesia Tbk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Archi Stock

Archi Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archi with respect to the benefits of owning Archi Indonesia security.