Absolute Convertible Arbitrage Fund Market Value

ARBOX Fund  USD 11.50  0.01  0.09%   
Absolute Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Absolute Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Absolute Convertible Arbitrage investors about its performance. Absolute Convertible is trading at 11.50 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.09 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.49.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Absolute Convertible Arbitrage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Absolute Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Absolute Convertible Correlation, Absolute Convertible Volatility and Absolute Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Absolute Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Absolute Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Absolute Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Absolute Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Absolute Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Absolute Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Absolute Convertible.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Absolute Convertible on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Absolute Convertible Arbitrage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Absolute Convertible over 30 days. Absolute Convertible is related to or competes with The Hartford, Tax-managed, Ab Small, Ab Small, Qs Us, Us Small, and Champlain Small. The fund invests primarily in a diversified portfolio of convertible securities issued by both U.S More

Absolute Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Absolute Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Absolute Convertible Arbitrage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Absolute Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Absolute Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Absolute Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Absolute Convertible historical prices to predict the future Absolute Convertible's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4511.5011.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3512.5112.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4611.5011.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4711.4811.50
Details

Absolute Convertible Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Absolute Mutual Fund to be very steady. Absolute Convertible secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.56, which signifies that the fund had a 0.56% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Absolute Convertible Arbitrage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Absolute Convertible's Mean Deviation of 0.0435, risk adjusted performance of 0.3072, and Standard Deviation of 0.0495 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0274%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0034, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Absolute Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Absolute Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Absolute Convertible Arbitrage has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Absolute Convertible time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Absolute Convertible price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Absolute Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.95
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Absolute Convertible lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Absolute Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Absolute Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Absolute Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Absolute Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Absolute Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Absolute Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Absolute Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Absolute Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Absolute Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Absolute Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Absolute Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Absolute Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Absolute Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Absolute Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Absolute Convertible Arbitrage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Absolute Mutual Fund

Absolute Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Absolute Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Absolute with respect to the benefits of owning Absolute Convertible security.
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