Alger Small Cap Fund Market Value

AOFYX Fund  USD 18.69  0.53  2.92%   
Alger Small's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Small Cap investors about its performance. Alger Small is trading at 18.69 as of the 25th of March 2025; that is 2.92% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Small Correlation, Alger Small Volatility and Alger Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Small.
0.00
12/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/25/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Small on December 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Small over 90 days. Alger Small is related to or competes with Investec Emerging, Rbc Emerging, Victory Cemp, Pace International, Barings Emerging, and T Rowe. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity ... More

Alger Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Small historical prices to predict the future Alger Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alger Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3718.1619.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7218.5120.30
Details

Alger Small Cap Backtested Returns

Alger Small Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the fund had a -0.12 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alger Small Cap exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alger Small's mean deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alger Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alger Small is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

Alger Small Cap has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Small time series from 25th of December 2024 to 8th of February 2025 and 8th of February 2025 to 25th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Alger Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.64
Alger ReturnsAlger Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayAlger ReturnsAlger Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Alger Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 17Mar 22-15%-10%-5%0% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Alger Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 10Feb 15Feb 20Feb 25MarMar 07Mar 12Mar 17Mar 2217.518.018.519.019.520.020.521.0
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Alger Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Small mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar17.518.018.519.019.520.020.521.021.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Small security.
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