Aena Sme Sa Stock Market Value

ANNSF Stock  USD 214.20  2.09  0.99%   
Aena SME's market value is the price at which a share of Aena SME trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aena SME SA investors about its performance. Aena SME is trading at 214.20 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a 0.99% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 214.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aena SME SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aena SME over a given investment horizon. Check out Aena SME Correlation, Aena SME Volatility and Aena SME Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aena SME.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aena SME's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aena SME is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aena SME's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aena SME 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aena SME's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aena SME.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aena SME on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aena SME SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aena SME over 180 days. Aena SME is related to or competes with UDR, FactSet Research, Netflix, Scottie Resources, Empire State, and China Mengniu. Aena S.M.E., S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation, maintenance, management, and administration... More

Aena SME Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aena SME's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aena SME SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aena SME Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aena SME's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aena SME's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aena SME historical prices to predict the future Aena SME's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aena SME's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
213.21214.20215.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
176.47177.46235.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
219.82220.81221.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
206.22210.71215.20
Details

Aena SME SA Backtested Returns

At this point, Aena SME is very steady. Aena SME SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aena SME SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aena SME's Mean Deviation of 0.6736, risk adjusted performance of 0.0896, and Downside Deviation of 0.998 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Aena SME has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aena SME's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aena SME is expected to be smaller as well. Aena SME SA right now shows a risk of 0.98%. Please confirm Aena SME SA total risk alpha, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Aena SME SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Aena SME SA has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aena SME time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aena SME SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Aena SME price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance44.11

Aena SME SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aena SME pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aena SME's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aena SME returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aena SME has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aena SME regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aena SME pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aena SME pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aena SME pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aena SME Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aena SME's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aena SME pink sheet have on its future price. Aena SME autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aena SME autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aena SME pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aena SME SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Aena Pink Sheet

Aena SME financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aena Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aena with respect to the benefits of owning Aena SME security.