Aqr International Defensive Fund Market Value

ANDRX Fund  USD 14.77  0.14  0.96%   
Aqr International's market value is the price at which a share of Aqr International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aqr International Defensive investors about its performance. Aqr International is trading at 14.77 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.96% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.63.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aqr International Defensive and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aqr International over a given investment horizon. Check out Aqr International Correlation, Aqr International Volatility and Aqr International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aqr International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aqr International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aqr International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aqr International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aqr International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aqr International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aqr International.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aqr International on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aqr International Defensive or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aqr International over 30 days. Aqr International is related to or competes with Jhancock Short, Siit Ultra, Federated Ultrashort, Ultra-short Fixed, Franklin Federal, Aqr Sustainable, and Touchstone Ultra. The fund pursues a defensive investment style, seeking to provide downside protection with upside potential through acti... More

Aqr International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aqr International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aqr International Defensive upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aqr International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aqr International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aqr International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aqr International historical prices to predict the future Aqr International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1214.7715.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1714.8215.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2514.9015.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3214.5614.80
Details

Aqr International Backtested Returns

Aqr International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.064, which signifies that the fund had a -0.064% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Aqr International Defensive exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Aqr International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), mean deviation of 0.5292, and Standard Deviation of 0.6596 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aqr International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aqr International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Aqr International Defensive has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aqr International time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aqr International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Aqr International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Aqr International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aqr International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aqr International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aqr International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aqr International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aqr International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aqr International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aqr International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aqr International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aqr International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aqr International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aqr International mutual fund have on its future price. Aqr International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aqr International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aqr International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aqr International Defensive.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aqr Mutual Fund

Aqr International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqr with respect to the benefits of owning Aqr International security.
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