Voyageurs (France) Market Value

ALVDM Stock  EUR 140.20  1.20  0.86%   
Voyageurs' market value is the price at which a share of Voyageurs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Voyageurs du Monde investors about its performance. Voyageurs is selling at 140.20 as of the 24th of December 2024; that is 0.86% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 139.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Voyageurs du Monde and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Voyageurs over a given investment horizon. Check out Voyageurs Correlation, Voyageurs Volatility and Voyageurs Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Voyageurs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Voyageurs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Voyageurs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Voyageurs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Voyageurs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Voyageurs' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Voyageurs.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Voyageurs on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Voyageurs du Monde or generate 0.0% return on investment in Voyageurs over 30 days. Voyageurs is related to or competes with ATEME SA, Figeac Aero, Chargeurs, Xilam Animation, and BigBen Interactive. Voyageurs du Monde SA provides travel services in France and internationally More

Voyageurs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Voyageurs' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Voyageurs du Monde upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Voyageurs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Voyageurs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Voyageurs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Voyageurs historical prices to predict the future Voyageurs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.42140.20141.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.81134.59154.22
Details

Voyageurs du Monde Backtested Returns

Voyageurs du Monde owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0309, which indicates the firm had a -0.0309% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Voyageurs du Monde exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Voyageurs' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), coefficient of variation of (4,732), and Variance of 3.16 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.46, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Voyageurs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Voyageurs is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Voyageurs du Monde has a negative expected return of -0.0551%. Please make sure to validate Voyageurs' value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if Voyageurs du Monde performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

Voyageurs du Monde has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Voyageurs time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Voyageurs du Monde price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Voyageurs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance25.84

Voyageurs du Monde lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Voyageurs stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Voyageurs' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Voyageurs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Voyageurs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Voyageurs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Voyageurs stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Voyageurs stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Voyageurs stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Voyageurs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Voyageurs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Voyageurs stock have on its future price. Voyageurs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Voyageurs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Voyageurs stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Voyageurs du Monde.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Voyageurs Stock Analysis

When running Voyageurs' price analysis, check to measure Voyageurs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Voyageurs is operating at the current time. Most of Voyageurs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Voyageurs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Voyageurs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Voyageurs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.