Charwood Energy (France) Market Value

ALCWE Stock   2.00  0.26  11.50%   
Charwood Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Charwood Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Charwood Energy SA investors about its performance. Charwood Energy is selling at 2.00 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 11.5% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 2.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Charwood Energy SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Charwood Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Charwood Energy Correlation, Charwood Energy Volatility and Charwood Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Charwood Energy.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Charwood Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Charwood Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Charwood Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Charwood Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Charwood Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Charwood Energy.
0.00
12/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Charwood Energy on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Charwood Energy SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Charwood Energy over 30 days. Charwood Energy is related to or competes with Fill Up, Media 6, Les Hotels, CMG Cleantech, Sidetrade, Boiron SA, and Hoteles Bestprice. More

Charwood Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Charwood Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Charwood Energy SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Charwood Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Charwood Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Charwood Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Charwood Energy historical prices to predict the future Charwood Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Charwood Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.005.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.915.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.045.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.962.182.40
Details

Charwood Energy SA Backtested Returns

Charwood Energy SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the company had a -0.18 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Charwood Energy SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Charwood Energy's risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Mean Deviation of 2.24 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Charwood Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Charwood Energy is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Charwood Energy SA has a negative expected return of -0.6%. Please make sure to confirm Charwood Energy's standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Charwood Energy SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Charwood Energy SA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Charwood Energy time series from 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025 and 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Charwood Energy SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Charwood Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Charwood Energy SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Charwood Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Charwood Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Charwood Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Charwood Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Charwood Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Charwood Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Charwood Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Charwood Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Charwood Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Charwood Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Charwood Energy stock have on its future price. Charwood Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Charwood Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Charwood Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Charwood Energy SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Charwood Stock Analysis

When running Charwood Energy's price analysis, check to measure Charwood Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Charwood Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Charwood Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Charwood Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Charwood Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Charwood Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.