Ab California Portfolio Fund Market Value
| ALCAX Fund | USD 10.42 0.04 0.38% |
| Symbol | ALCAX |
Ab California 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab California's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab California.
| 12/13/2024 |
| 01/12/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ab California on December 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab California Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab California over 30 days. Ab California is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, and Ab All. The fund invests principally in high-yielding, predominantly investment grade municipal securities More
Ab California Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab California's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab California Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.43 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2857 |
Ab California Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab California historical prices to predict the future Ab California's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.86) |
Ab California Portfolio Backtested Returns
Ab California Portfolio retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1, which signifies that the fund had a -0.1% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Ab California exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ab California's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.85), variance of 0.0664, and Information Ratio of (0.11) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0481, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ab California's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ab California is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.39 |
Below average predictability
Ab California Portfolio has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab California time series from 13th of December 2024 to 28th of December 2024 and 28th of December 2024 to 12th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab California Portfolio price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Ab California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.2 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Ab California Portfolio lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ab California mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab California's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ab California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab California mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab California mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab California mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ab California Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ab California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab California mutual fund have on its future price. Ab California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab California mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab California Portfolio.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in ALCAX Mutual Fund
Ab California financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALCAX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALCAX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab California security.
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