AST Groupe (France) Market Value

ALAST Stock  EUR 0.48  0.02  4.00%   
AST Groupe's market value is the price at which a share of AST Groupe trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AST Groupe investors about its performance. AST Groupe is selling at 0.48 as of the 10th of January 2025; that is 4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AST Groupe and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AST Groupe over a given investment horizon. Check out AST Groupe Correlation, AST Groupe Volatility and AST Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AST Groupe.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AST Groupe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AST Groupe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AST Groupe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AST Groupe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AST Groupe's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AST Groupe.
0.00
01/21/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AST Groupe on January 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AST Groupe or generate 0.0% return on investment in AST Groupe over 720 days. AST Groupe is related to or competes with Lexibook Linguistic, Manitou BF, Ekinops SA, Memscap Regpt, SPDR Barclays, Malteries Franco, and Poxel SA. Astellia S.A. provides network and subscriber intelligence solutions for mobile operators worldwide More

AST Groupe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AST Groupe's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AST Groupe upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AST Groupe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AST Groupe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AST Groupe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AST Groupe historical prices to predict the future AST Groupe's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AST Groupe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.480.480.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.400.400.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.480.480.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.480.480.48
Details

AST Groupe Backtested Returns

We have found eight technical indicators for AST Groupe, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AST Groupe's rate of daily change of 0.96, and Accumulation Distribution of 0.04 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and AST Groupe are completely uncorrelated. AST Groupe currently shows a risk of 0.0%. Please confirm AST Groupe daily balance of power , to decide if AST Groupe will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

AST Groupe has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AST Groupe time series from 21st of January 2023 to 16th of January 2024 and 16th of January 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AST Groupe price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current AST Groupe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

AST Groupe lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AST Groupe stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AST Groupe's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AST Groupe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AST Groupe has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AST Groupe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AST Groupe stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AST Groupe stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AST Groupe stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AST Groupe Lagged Returns

When evaluating AST Groupe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AST Groupe stock have on its future price. AST Groupe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AST Groupe autocorrelation shows the relationship between AST Groupe stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AST Groupe.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for AST Stock Analysis

When running AST Groupe's price analysis, check to measure AST Groupe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AST Groupe is operating at the current time. Most of AST Groupe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AST Groupe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AST Groupe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AST Groupe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.