Ab Growth Fund Market Value
| AGRCX Fund | USD 10.34 0.02 0.19% |
| Symbol | AGRCX |
Ab Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Growth.
| 04/15/2024 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ab Growth on April 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Growth over 270 days. Ab Growth is related to or competes with Inflation-adjusted, Guggenheim Managed, Lord Abbett, Altegris Futures, Guidepath(r) Managed, Aqr Managed, and Asg Managed. The fund invests primarily in a domestic equity securities of companies selected by the funds Adviser for their growth p... More
Ab Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 71.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.53 |
Ab Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Growth historical prices to predict the future Ab Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.92) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.10) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.25) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ab Growth Fund Backtested Returns
Ab Growth Fund retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the fund had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Ab Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ab Growth's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.24), variance of 73.64, and Information Ratio of (0.11) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.73, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ab Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ab Growth is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.23 |
Weak predictability
Ab Growth Fund has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Growth time series from 15th of April 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Growth Fund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Ab Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.23 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 76.18 |
Ab Growth Fund lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ab Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ab Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ab Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ab Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in AGRCX Mutual Fund
Ab Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGRCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGRCX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Growth security.
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