Invesco Government Fund Market Value
| AGOVX Fund | USD 6.95 0.01 0.14% |
| Symbol | Invesco |
Invesco Government 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Government.
| 11/27/2024 |
| 12/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Invesco Government on November 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Government Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Government over 30 days. Invesco Government is related to or competes with Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Oppenheimer Rising, Invesco High, Oppenheimer Strategic, and Oppenheimer International. The fund invests primarily in fixed-income securities and in derivatives and other instruments that have economic charac... More
Invesco Government Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Government Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.1627 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.29) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.7217 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2899 |
Invesco Government Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Government historical prices to predict the future Invesco Government's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0157 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.26) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Government Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Government holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0498, which attests that the entity had a 0.0498% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Invesco Government, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Government's Standard Deviation of 0.1443, risk adjusted performance of 0.0157, and Mean Deviation of 0.0919 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0071%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Invesco Government are completely uncorrelated.
Auto-correlation | -0.78 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Invesco Government Fund has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Government time series from 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024 and 12th of December 2024 to 27th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Government price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Invesco Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Invesco Government lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Government mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Government's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Government returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Government has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Invesco Government regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Government mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Government mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Government mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Invesco Government Lagged Returns
When evaluating Invesco Government's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Government mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Government autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Government autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Government mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Government Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund
Invesco Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Government security.
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