American Financial Group Preferred Stock Market Value

AFGD Preferred Stock  USD 21.99  0.12  0.55%   
American Financial's market value is the price at which a share of American Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Financial Group investors about its performance. American Financial is trading at 21.99 as of the 17th of February 2025, a 0.55 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 21.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Financial Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out American Financial Correlation, American Financial Volatility and American Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Financial's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Financial.
0.00
02/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
02/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Financial on February 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Financial over 720 days. American Financial is related to or competes with American Financial, American Financial, American Financial, Aegon Funding, and CMS Energy. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the U... More

American Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Financial's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Financial historical prices to predict the future American Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0021.9922.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2822.2723.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8021.7922.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4121.7622.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Financial.

American Financial Backtested Returns

American Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Financial Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Financial's risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 0.7701 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, American Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, American Financial has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to confirm American Financial's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if American Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

American Financial Group has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Financial time series from 28th of February 2023 to 23rd of February 2024 and 23rd of February 2024 to 17th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current American Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.87

American Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Financial preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Financial's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Financial preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Financial preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Financial preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Financial preferred stock have on its future price. American Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Financial preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Financial Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in American Preferred Stock

American Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Financial security.