Invesco European Growth Fund Market Value

AEDYX Fund  USD 31.65  0.04  0.13%   
Invesco European's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco European trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco European Growth investors about its performance. Invesco European is trading at 31.65 as of the 28th of December 2024; that is 0.13% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 31.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco European Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco European over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco European Correlation, Invesco European Volatility and Invesco European Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco European.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco European's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco European is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco European's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco European 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco European's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco European.
0.00
07/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco European on July 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco European Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco European over 180 days. Invesco European is related to or competes with Champlain Small, Needham Small, Sp Smallcap, Cardinal Small, Eagle Small, Ab Small, and Lebenthal Lisanti. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of European issuers, and in derivatives and ... More

Invesco European Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco European's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco European Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco European Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco European's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco European's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco European historical prices to predict the future Invesco European's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco European's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.2231.6533.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.0432.4733.90
Details

Invesco European Growth Backtested Returns

Invesco European Growth holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.22, which attests that the entity had a -0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco European Growth exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco European's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16), standard deviation of 1.42, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.45) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.65, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco European's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco European is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

Invesco European Growth has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco European time series from 1st of July 2024 to 29th of September 2024 and 29th of September 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco European Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Invesco European price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.02

Invesco European Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco European mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco European's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco European returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco European has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco European regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco European mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco European mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco European mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco European Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco European's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco European mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco European autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco European autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco European mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco European Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco European financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco European security.
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