Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund Market Value

ADVDX Fund  USD 4.40  0.01  0.23%   
Alpine Dynamic's market value is the price at which a share of Alpine Dynamic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alpine Dynamic Dividend investors about its performance. Alpine Dynamic is trading at 4.40 as of the 5th of March 2025; that is 0.23 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 4.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alpine Dynamic Dividend and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alpine Dynamic over a given investment horizon. Check out Alpine Dynamic Correlation, Alpine Dynamic Volatility and Alpine Dynamic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alpine Dynamic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpine Dynamic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpine Dynamic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpine Dynamic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alpine Dynamic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alpine Dynamic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alpine Dynamic.
0.00
02/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alpine Dynamic on February 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alpine Dynamic Dividend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alpine Dynamic over 30 days. Alpine Dynamic is related to or competes with Segall Bryant, Glg Intl, Siit Small, Touchstone Small, Ep Emerging, Channing Intrinsic, and Transamerica International. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in the equity securities of certain d... More

Alpine Dynamic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alpine Dynamic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alpine Dynamic Dividend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alpine Dynamic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alpine Dynamic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alpine Dynamic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alpine Dynamic historical prices to predict the future Alpine Dynamic's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alpine Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.784.405.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.774.395.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.794.415.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.214.344.48
Details

Alpine Dynamic Dividend Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Alpine Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Alpine Dynamic Dividend secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.028, which signifies that the fund had a 0.028 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Alpine Dynamic Dividend, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Alpine Dynamic's Downside Deviation of 0.8653, risk adjusted performance of 0.0239, and Mean Deviation of 0.4449 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0174%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alpine Dynamic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alpine Dynamic is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

Alpine Dynamic Dividend has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alpine Dynamic time series from 3rd of February 2025 to 18th of February 2025 and 18th of February 2025 to 5th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alpine Dynamic Dividend price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Alpine Dynamic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Alpine Dynamic Dividend lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alpine Dynamic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alpine Dynamic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alpine Dynamic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alpine Dynamic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alpine Dynamic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alpine Dynamic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alpine Dynamic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alpine Dynamic mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alpine Dynamic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alpine Dynamic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alpine Dynamic mutual fund have on its future price. Alpine Dynamic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alpine Dynamic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alpine Dynamic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alpine Dynamic Dividend.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alpine Mutual Fund

Alpine Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpine Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpine with respect to the benefits of owning Alpine Dynamic security.
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