Archer Daniels (Germany) Market Value
| ADM Stock | EUR 43.40 0.10 0.23% |
| Symbol | Archer |
Archer Daniels 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Archer Daniels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Archer Daniels.
| 12/16/2024 |
| 03/16/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Archer Daniels on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Archer Daniels Midland or generate 0.0% return on investment in Archer Daniels over 90 days. Archer Daniels is related to or competes with BOVIS HOMES, AUTOHOME INC, Marie Brizard, Bet-at-home, American Homes, and ScanSource. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, produ... More
Archer Daniels Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Archer Daniels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Archer Daniels Midland upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.83 |
Archer Daniels Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Archer Daniels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Archer Daniels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Archer Daniels historical prices to predict the future Archer Daniels' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.107 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.8616 |
Archer Daniels Midland Backtested Returns
Archer Daniels Midland secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0849, which signifies that the company had a -0.0849 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Archer Daniels Midland exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Archer Daniels' risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 1.53 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Archer Daniels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Archer Daniels is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Archer Daniels Midland has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to confirm Archer Daniels' market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Archer Daniels Midland performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.43 |
Average predictability
Archer Daniels Midland has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Archer Daniels time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Archer Daniels Midland price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Archer Daniels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.43 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.33 |
Archer Daniels Midland lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Archer Daniels stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Archer Daniels' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Archer Daniels returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Archer Daniels has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Archer Daniels regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Archer Daniels stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Archer Daniels stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Archer Daniels stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Archer Daniels Lagged Returns
When evaluating Archer Daniels' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Archer Daniels stock have on its future price. Archer Daniels autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Archer Daniels autocorrelation shows the relationship between Archer Daniels stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Archer Daniels Midland.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Archer Stock
When determining whether Archer Daniels Midland is a strong investment it is important to analyze Archer Daniels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Archer Daniels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Archer Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Archer Daniels Correlation, Archer Daniels Volatility and Archer Daniels Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Archer Daniels. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Archer Daniels technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.