Is Archer Daniels Stock a Good Investment?

Archer Daniels Investment Advice

  ADM
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Archer Daniels Midland stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Archer Daniels Midland. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Archer Daniels in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Archer Daniels' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Archer Daniels' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Archer Daniels navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Agricultural Products & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact Archer Daniels' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Archer Daniels' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Archer Daniels is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Archer Daniels pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Archer Daniels' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Archer Daniels Midland stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Archer Daniels Midland is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Archer Daniels trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Archer Daniels is not overpriced, please confirm all Archer Daniels Midland fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue . Given that Archer Daniels Midland has a price to earning of 13.30 X, we suggest you to validate Archer Daniels Midland market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Archer Daniels Stock

Researching Archer Daniels' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Archer Daniels Midland last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 30th of August 2001.
To determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Archer Daniels' research are outlined below:
Archer Daniels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 11th of March 2025 Archer Daniels paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Semanteon Capital Management LP Acquires Shares of 12,146 Archer-Daniels-Midland Company - MarketBeat

Archer Daniels Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

35.91 Billion

Archer Daniels uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Archer Daniels Midland. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Archer Daniels' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Archer Daniels' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Archer Daniels' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1999-07-16
1999-06-300.050.060.0120 
2001-01-19
2000-12-310.170.190.0211 
2000-07-21
2000-06-300.170.190.0211 
2001-07-23
2001-06-300.160.13-0.0318 
1998-10-15
1998-09-300.120.09-0.0325 
1996-04-15
1996-03-310.220.250.0313 
2003-10-31
2003-09-300.190.230.0421 
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.110.150.0436 

Archer Daniels Target Price Consensus

Archer target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Archer Daniels' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   12  Hold
Most Archer analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Archer stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Archer Daniels Midland, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Archer Daniels Target Price Projection

Archer Daniels' current and average target prices are 46.05 and 56.18, respectively. The current price of Archer Daniels is the price at which Archer Daniels Midland is currently trading. On the other hand, Archer Daniels' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Archer Daniels Market Quote on 26th of March 2025

Low Price45.8Odds
High Price46.58Odds

46.05

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Archer Daniels Target Price

Low Estimate51.13Odds
High Estimate62.36Odds

56.1818

Historical Lowest Forecast  51.13 Target Price  56.18 Highest Forecast  62.36
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Archer Daniels Midland and the information provided on this page.

Archer Daniels Analyst Ratings

Archer Daniels' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Archer Daniels stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Archer Daniels' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Archer Daniels' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Archer Daniels' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Archer Daniels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archer Daniels Midland backward and forwards among themselves. Archer Daniels' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Archer Daniels' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
5.2 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-12-31
4.2 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Moneta Group Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Proshare Advisors Llc2024-12-31
3.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
3.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
3.2 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
62.4 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-12-31
46.8 M
Note, although Archer Daniels' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Archer Daniels' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 22.09 B.

Market Cap

26.72 Billion

Archer Daniels' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.08 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.02 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.02 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.02 of operating income.
Determining Archer Daniels' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Archer Daniels is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Archer Daniels' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Archer Daniels' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Archer Daniels' management efficiency

Archer Daniels Midland has Return on Asset of 0.0233 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0233 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0759 %, implying that it generated $0.0759 on every 100 dollars invested. Archer Daniels' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Archer Daniels manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Archer Daniels' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.05, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.06. At this time, Archer Daniels' Return On Assets are very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 46.93  49.27 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 32.77  34.40 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 8.21  11.47 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.09  1.63 
Enterprise Value Multiple 8.21  11.47 
Price Fair Value 1.09  1.63 
Enterprise Value28.6 B30 B
Management at Archer Daniels Midland focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Dividend Yield
0.0443
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0443
Forward Dividend Rate
2.04
Beta
0.662

Basic technical analysis of Archer Stock

As of the 26th of March, Archer Daniels shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 1.33. Archer Daniels Midland technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Archer Daniels Midland information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if Archer Daniels Midland is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 46.05 per share. Given that Archer Daniels has information ratio of (0.08), we suggest you to validate Archer Daniels Midland's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Archer Daniels' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Archer Daniels insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Archer Daniels' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Archer Daniels insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Archer Daniels' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Archer Daniels issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Archer Daniels Midland uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Archer bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Archer Daniels Midland has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Archer Daniels' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Archer Daniels' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Archer Daniels' intraday indicators

Archer Daniels intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Archer Daniels stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Archer Daniels Corporate Filings

25th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
21st of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
4th of March 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
10K
20th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
Archer Daniels time-series forecasting models is one of many Archer Daniels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Archer Daniels' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Archer Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Archer Daniels that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Archer media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Archer internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Archer data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Archer Daniels news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Archer Daniels relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Archer Daniels' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Archer Daniels alpha.

Archer Daniels Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Archer Daniels can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Archer Daniels Midland Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Archer Daniels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Archer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Archer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Archer Daniels Midland. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Archer Daniels' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Archer Daniels and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Archer Daniels news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Archer Daniels.

Archer Daniels Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

Archer Daniels' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Archer Daniels close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Archer Daniels' options.

Archer Daniels Corporate Directors

Terrel CrewsIndependent DirectorProfile
Debra SandlerIndependent DirectorProfile
Francisco SanchezIndependent DirectorProfile
Michael BurkeIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Archer Daniels Midland?

The danger of trading Archer Daniels Midland is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Archer Daniels is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Archer Daniels. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Archer Daniels Midland is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Archer Daniels Midland is a strong investment it is important to analyze Archer Daniels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Archer Daniels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Archer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.103
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
3.65
Revenue Per Share
173.841
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Archer Daniels Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Archer Daniels' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Daniels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.