Adial Pharmaceuticals Stock Market Value

ADIL Stock  USD 1.19  0.08  7.21%   
Adial Pharmaceuticals' market value is the price at which a share of Adial Pharmaceuticals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Adial Pharmaceuticals investors about its performance. Adial Pharmaceuticals is selling for 1.19 as of the 4th of December 2024. This is a 7.21 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Adial Pharmaceuticals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Adial Pharmaceuticals over a given investment horizon. Check out Adial Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Adial Pharmaceuticals Volatility and Adial Pharmaceuticals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adial Pharmaceuticals.
For more information on how to buy Adial Stock please use our How to buy in Adial Stock guide.
Symbol

Adial Pharmaceuticals Price To Book Ratio

Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adial Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Adial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adial Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.94)
Return On Assets
(1.04)
Return On Equity
(3.21)
The market value of Adial Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adial Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adial Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adial Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adial Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adial Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adial Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adial Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Adial Pharmaceuticals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adial Pharmaceuticals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adial Pharmaceuticals.
0.00
10/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Adial Pharmaceuticals on October 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adial Pharmaceuticals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adial Pharmaceuticals over 60 days. Adial Pharmaceuticals is related to or competes with Transcode Therapeutics, Aditxt, Reviva Pharmaceuticals, Avenue Therapeutics, Aileron Therapeutics, Bio Path, and Benitec Biopharma. Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics for ... More

Adial Pharmaceuticals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adial Pharmaceuticals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adial Pharmaceuticals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Adial Pharmaceuticals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adial Pharmaceuticals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adial Pharmaceuticals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adial Pharmaceuticals historical prices to predict the future Adial Pharmaceuticals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.094.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.005.919.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.175.03
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.6620.5022.76
Details

Adial Pharmaceuticals Backtested Returns

Adial Pharmaceuticals appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Adial Pharmaceuticals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0798, which signifies that the company had a 0.0798% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Adial Pharmaceuticals, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Adial Pharmaceuticals' Downside Deviation of 3.28, risk adjusted performance of 0.0595, and Mean Deviation of 2.58 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Adial Pharmaceuticals holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0489, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adial Pharmaceuticals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adial Pharmaceuticals is likely to outperform the market. Please check Adial Pharmaceuticals' jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Adial Pharmaceuticals' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Adial Pharmaceuticals has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adial Pharmaceuticals time series from 5th of October 2024 to 4th of November 2024 and 4th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adial Pharmaceuticals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Adial Pharmaceuticals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Adial Pharmaceuticals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Adial Pharmaceuticals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adial Pharmaceuticals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adial Pharmaceuticals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adial Pharmaceuticals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Adial Pharmaceuticals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adial Pharmaceuticals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adial Pharmaceuticals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adial Pharmaceuticals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Adial Pharmaceuticals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Adial Pharmaceuticals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adial Pharmaceuticals stock have on its future price. Adial Pharmaceuticals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adial Pharmaceuticals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adial Pharmaceuticals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adial Pharmaceuticals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Adial Pharmaceuticals is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adial Pharmaceuticals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adial Pharmaceuticals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adial Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Adial Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Adial Pharmaceuticals Volatility and Adial Pharmaceuticals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adial Pharmaceuticals.
For more information on how to buy Adial Stock please use our How to buy in Adial Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Adial Pharmaceuticals technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Adial Pharmaceuticals technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Adial Pharmaceuticals trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...