Ab Arizona Portfolio Fund Market Value

AAZAX Fund  USD 10.49  0.02  0.19%   
Ab Arizona's market value is the price at which a share of Ab Arizona trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ab Arizona Portfolio investors about its performance. Ab Arizona is trading at 10.49 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.19% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ab Arizona Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ab Arizona over a given investment horizon. Check out Ab Arizona Correlation, Ab Arizona Volatility and Ab Arizona Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ab Arizona.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ab Arizona's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ab Arizona is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ab Arizona's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ab Arizona 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Arizona's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Arizona.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ab Arizona on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Arizona Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Arizona over 30 days. Ab Arizona is related to or competes with Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Global, Ab Minnesota, Ab Minnesota, Ab All, and Ab All. The fund principally invests in high-yielding, predominantly investment grade municipal securities More

Ab Arizona Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Arizona's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Arizona Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ab Arizona Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Arizona's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Arizona's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Arizona historical prices to predict the future Ab Arizona's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2810.4910.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0010.2111.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2810.4910.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3710.4410.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ab Arizona. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ab Arizona's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ab Arizona's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ab Arizona Portfolio.

Ab Arizona Portfolio Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider AAZAX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab Arizona Portfolio retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0515, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0515% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ab Arizona, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab Arizona's Coefficient Of Variation of 1404.3, market risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 0.2068 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0107%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0789, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ab Arizona are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ab Arizona is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Ab Arizona Portfolio has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Arizona time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Arizona Portfolio price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Ab Arizona price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Ab Arizona Portfolio lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ab Arizona mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Arizona's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Arizona returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Arizona has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ab Arizona regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Arizona mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Arizona mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Arizona mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ab Arizona Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ab Arizona's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Arizona mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Arizona autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Arizona autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Arizona mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Arizona Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AAZAX Mutual Fund

Ab Arizona financial ratios help investors to determine whether AAZAX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AAZAX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Arizona security.
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