Pinduoduo (Germany) Market Value

9PDA Stock  EUR 115.00  2.00  1.77%   
Pinduoduo's market value is the price at which a share of Pinduoduo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pinduoduo investors about its performance. Pinduoduo is trading at 115.00 as of the 1st of March 2025. This is a 1.77 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 113.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pinduoduo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pinduoduo over a given investment horizon. Check out Pinduoduo Correlation, Pinduoduo Volatility and Pinduoduo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pinduoduo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pinduoduo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pinduoduo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pinduoduo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pinduoduo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pinduoduo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pinduoduo.
0.00
01/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pinduoduo on January 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pinduoduo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pinduoduo over 30 days. Pinduoduo is related to or competes with Sqs Software, Easy Software, CyberArk Software, GBS Software, Take-Two Interactive, Bank of America, and Alfa Financial. Pinduoduo Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform in the Peoples Republic of China More

Pinduoduo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pinduoduo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pinduoduo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pinduoduo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pinduoduo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pinduoduo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pinduoduo historical prices to predict the future Pinduoduo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.54115.00118.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.3993.85126.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.50111.96115.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
112.24114.20116.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pinduoduo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pinduoduo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pinduoduo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pinduoduo.

Pinduoduo Backtested Returns

Pinduoduo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Pinduoduo maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.11, which implies the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Pinduoduo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Pinduoduo's Semi Deviation of 2.94, risk adjusted performance of 0.0641, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1308.8 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Pinduoduo holds a performance score of 8. The company holds a Beta of -0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pinduoduo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pinduoduo is likely to outperform the market. Please check Pinduoduo's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Pinduoduo's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.8  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Pinduoduo has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pinduoduo time series from 30th of January 2025 to 14th of February 2025 and 14th of February 2025 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pinduoduo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Pinduoduo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.8
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.29

Pinduoduo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pinduoduo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pinduoduo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pinduoduo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pinduoduo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pinduoduo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pinduoduo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pinduoduo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pinduoduo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pinduoduo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pinduoduo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pinduoduo stock have on its future price. Pinduoduo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pinduoduo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pinduoduo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pinduoduo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pinduoduo Stock

Pinduoduo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pinduoduo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pinduoduo with respect to the benefits of owning Pinduoduo security.