Eagle Cold (Taiwan) Market Value

8905 Stock  TWD 31.25  0.65  2.12%   
Eagle Cold's market value is the price at which a share of Eagle Cold trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eagle Cold Storage investors about its performance. Eagle Cold is selling for under 31.25 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 2.12 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eagle Cold Storage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eagle Cold over a given investment horizon. Check out Eagle Cold Correlation, Eagle Cold Volatility and Eagle Cold Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eagle Cold.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Cold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eagle Cold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Cold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eagle Cold 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eagle Cold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eagle Cold.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eagle Cold on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eagle Cold Storage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eagle Cold over 30 days. Eagle Cold is related to or competes with Camellia Metal, Union Insurance, Cleanaway, Yong Shun, Mechema Chemicals, Compal Broadband, and Sunspring Metal. Eagle Cold Storage Enterprise Co., Ltd. engages in the processing and trade of vegetables and meat products in Taiwan More

Eagle Cold Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eagle Cold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eagle Cold Storage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eagle Cold Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eagle Cold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eagle Cold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eagle Cold historical prices to predict the future Eagle Cold's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.1831.2532.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7525.8234.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.9931.0632.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.7429.8230.90
Details

Eagle Cold Storage Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Eagle Stock to be very steady. Eagle Cold Storage secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0312, which denotes the company had a 0.0312% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Eagle Cold Storage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Eagle Cold's Downside Deviation of 1.21, mean deviation of 0.7051, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1946.56 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0334%. Eagle Cold has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.21, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Eagle Cold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Eagle Cold is likely to outperform the market. Eagle Cold Storage right now shows a risk of 1.07%. Please confirm Eagle Cold Storage mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Eagle Cold Storage will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Eagle Cold Storage has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eagle Cold time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eagle Cold Storage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Eagle Cold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

Eagle Cold Storage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eagle Cold stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eagle Cold's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eagle Cold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eagle Cold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eagle Cold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eagle Cold stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eagle Cold stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eagle Cold stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eagle Cold Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eagle Cold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eagle Cold stock have on its future price. Eagle Cold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eagle Cold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eagle Cold stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eagle Cold Storage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Eagle Cold

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eagle Cold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eagle Cold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Eagle Stock

  0.651229 Lien Hwa IndustrialPairCorr

Moving against Eagle Stock

  0.562881A Fubon Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.481218 Taisun EnterprisePairCorr
  0.421231 Lian Hwa FoodsPairCorr
  0.422891 CTBC Financial HoldingPairCorr
  0.411210 Great Wall EnterprisePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eagle Cold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eagle Cold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eagle Cold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eagle Cold Storage to buy it.
The correlation of Eagle Cold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eagle Cold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eagle Cold Storage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eagle Cold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Eagle Stock Analysis

When running Eagle Cold's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Cold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Cold is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Cold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Cold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Cold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Cold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.