Sichuan Tianwei (China) Market Value

688511 Stock   14.93  0.09  0.60%   
Sichuan Tianwei's market value is the price at which a share of Sichuan Tianwei trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sichuan Tianwei Electronic investors about its performance. Sichuan Tianwei is trading at 14.93 as of the 20th of January 2025, a 0.6 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 15.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sichuan Tianwei Electronic and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sichuan Tianwei over a given investment horizon. Check out Sichuan Tianwei Correlation, Sichuan Tianwei Volatility and Sichuan Tianwei Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sichuan Tianwei.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sichuan Tianwei's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sichuan Tianwei is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sichuan Tianwei's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sichuan Tianwei 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sichuan Tianwei's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sichuan Tianwei.
0.00
06/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sichuan Tianwei on June 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sichuan Tianwei Electronic or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sichuan Tianwei over 570 days. Sichuan Tianwei is related to or competes with Shenzhen MYS, Haoxiangni Jujube, Shenzhen Bingchuan, Jizhong Energy, CSG Holding, and Henan Lantian. Sichuan Tianwei is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Sichuan Tianwei Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sichuan Tianwei's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sichuan Tianwei Electronic upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sichuan Tianwei Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sichuan Tianwei's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sichuan Tianwei's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sichuan Tianwei historical prices to predict the future Sichuan Tianwei's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4714.9319.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5814.0418.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4416.9021.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5717.0421.52
Details

Sichuan Tianwei Elec Backtested Returns

Sichuan Tianwei Elec owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0513, which indicates the firm had a -0.0513 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Sichuan Tianwei Electronic exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Sichuan Tianwei's Variance of 19.51, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,694) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0537, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Sichuan Tianwei are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Sichuan Tianwei is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Sichuan Tianwei Elec has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to validate Sichuan Tianwei's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Sichuan Tianwei Elec performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

Sichuan Tianwei Electronic has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sichuan Tianwei time series from 30th of June 2023 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sichuan Tianwei Elec price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Sichuan Tianwei price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.81

Sichuan Tianwei Elec lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sichuan Tianwei stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sichuan Tianwei's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sichuan Tianwei returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sichuan Tianwei has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sichuan Tianwei regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sichuan Tianwei stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sichuan Tianwei stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sichuan Tianwei stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sichuan Tianwei Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sichuan Tianwei's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sichuan Tianwei stock have on its future price. Sichuan Tianwei autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sichuan Tianwei autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sichuan Tianwei stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sichuan Tianwei Electronic.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Sichuan Stock

Sichuan Tianwei financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sichuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sichuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sichuan Tianwei security.