Taiwan Surface (Taiwan) Market Value
| 6278 Stock | TWD 116.50 3.50 2.92% |
| Symbol | Taiwan |
Taiwan Surface 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Taiwan Surface's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Taiwan Surface.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Taiwan Surface on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Taiwan Surface Mounting or generate 0.0% return on investment in Taiwan Surface over 90 days. Taiwan Surface is related to or competes with Unimicron Technology, Flexium Interconnect, Radiant Opto, Kinsus Interconnect, and Tong Hsing. Taiwan Surface Mounting Technology Corp. provides LCD surface-mount technology production solutions in Mainland China, T... More
Taiwan Surface Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Taiwan Surface's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Taiwan Surface Mounting upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1954 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.96 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.13 |
Taiwan Surface Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Taiwan Surface's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Taiwan Surface's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Taiwan Surface historical prices to predict the future Taiwan Surface's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1147 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1621 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3564 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1666 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.53) |
Taiwan Surface Mounting Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Taiwan Stock to be very steady. Taiwan Surface Mounting owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Taiwan Surface Mounting, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Taiwan Surface's Coefficient Of Variation of 786.48, semi deviation of 1.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1147 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Taiwan Surface has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Taiwan Surface are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Taiwan Surface is likely to outperform the market. Taiwan Surface Mounting right now has a risk of 1.45%. Please validate Taiwan Surface mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Taiwan Surface will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.25 |
Weak reverse predictability
Taiwan Surface Mounting has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Taiwan Surface time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Taiwan Surface Mounting price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Taiwan Surface price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.25 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.36 |
Taiwan Surface Mounting lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Taiwan Surface stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Taiwan Surface's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Taiwan Surface returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Taiwan Surface has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Surface regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Taiwan Surface stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Taiwan Surface stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Taiwan Surface stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Taiwan Surface Lagged Returns
When evaluating Taiwan Surface's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Taiwan Surface stock have on its future price. Taiwan Surface autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Taiwan Surface autocorrelation shows the relationship between Taiwan Surface stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Taiwan Surface Mounting.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Taiwan Stock Analysis
When running Taiwan Surface's price analysis, check to measure Taiwan Surface's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Taiwan Surface is operating at the current time. Most of Taiwan Surface's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Taiwan Surface's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Taiwan Surface's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Taiwan Surface to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.