Para Light (Taiwan) Market Value

6226 Stock  TWD 8.99  0.05  0.55%   
Para Light's market value is the price at which a share of Para Light trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Para Light Electronics investors about its performance. Para Light is selling for under 8.99 as of the 29th of December 2024; that is 0.55 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.97.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Para Light Electronics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Para Light over a given investment horizon. Check out Para Light Correlation, Para Light Volatility and Para Light Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Para Light.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Para Light's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Para Light is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Para Light's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Para Light 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Para Light's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Para Light.
0.00
07/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Para Light on July 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Para Light Electronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Para Light over 180 days. Para Light is related to or competes with Century Wind, Green World, Ingentec, and Chaheng Precision. Para Light Electronics Co., Ltd. provides lighting solutions and opto-electronic components for industrial, commercial, ... More

Para Light Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Para Light's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Para Light Electronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Para Light Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Para Light's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Para Light's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Para Light historical prices to predict the future Para Light's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.728.9910.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.328.599.86
Details

Para Light Electronics Backtested Returns

Para Light Electronics maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.098, which implies the firm had a -0.098% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Para Light Electronics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Para Light's Variance of 1.61, coefficient of variation of (897.29), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0712, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Para Light are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Para Light is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Para Light Electronics has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check Para Light's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Para Light Electronics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.44  

Average predictability

Para Light Electronics has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Para Light time series from 2nd of July 2024 to 30th of September 2024 and 30th of September 2024 to 29th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Para Light Electronics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Para Light price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.44
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.15

Para Light Electronics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Para Light stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Para Light's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Para Light returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Para Light has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Para Light regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Para Light stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Para Light stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Para Light stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Para Light Lagged Returns

When evaluating Para Light's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Para Light stock have on its future price. Para Light autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Para Light autocorrelation shows the relationship between Para Light stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Para Light Electronics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Para Stock Analysis

When running Para Light's price analysis, check to measure Para Light's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Para Light is operating at the current time. Most of Para Light's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Para Light's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Para Light's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Para Light to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.