Jiangsu Rongtai (China) Market Value

605133 Stock   22.94  0.26  1.12%   
Jiangsu Rongtai's market value is the price at which a share of Jiangsu Rongtai trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiangsu Rongtai Industry investors about its performance. Jiangsu Rongtai is trading at 22.94 as of the 4th of January 2025, a 1.12% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiangsu Rongtai Industry and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiangsu Rongtai over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiangsu Rongtai Correlation, Jiangsu Rongtai Volatility and Jiangsu Rongtai Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiangsu Rongtai.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiangsu Rongtai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiangsu Rongtai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiangsu Rongtai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiangsu Rongtai 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiangsu Rongtai's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiangsu Rongtai.
0.00
11/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
01/04/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiangsu Rongtai on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiangsu Rongtai Industry or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiangsu Rongtai over 60 days. Jiangsu Rongtai is related to or competes with Shandong Publishing, Time Publishing, China Reform, Lotus Health, Andon Health, Meinian Onehealth, and Shanghai Action. Jiangsu Rongtai is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Jiangsu Rongtai Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiangsu Rongtai's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiangsu Rongtai Industry upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiangsu Rongtai Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiangsu Rongtai's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiangsu Rongtai's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiangsu Rongtai historical prices to predict the future Jiangsu Rongtai's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0823.3527.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7222.9927.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu Rongtai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu Rongtai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu Rongtai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu Rongtai Industry.

Jiangsu Rongtai Industry Backtested Returns

At this point, Jiangsu Rongtai is not too volatile. Jiangsu Rongtai Industry holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0424, which attests that the entity had a 0.0424% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Jiangsu Rongtai Industry, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Jiangsu Rongtai's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0793, downside deviation of 3.61, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5768 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Jiangsu Rongtai has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Jiangsu Rongtai's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jiangsu Rongtai is expected to be smaller as well. Jiangsu Rongtai Industry right now retains a risk of 4.27%. Please check out Jiangsu Rongtai mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Jiangsu Rongtai will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.27  

Weak reverse predictability

Jiangsu Rongtai Industry has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiangsu Rongtai time series from 5th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiangsu Rongtai Industry price movement. The serial correlation of -0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Jiangsu Rongtai price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.71

Jiangsu Rongtai Industry lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiangsu Rongtai stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiangsu Rongtai's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiangsu Rongtai returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiangsu Rongtai has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Rongtai regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiangsu Rongtai stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiangsu Rongtai stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiangsu Rongtai stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Rongtai Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiangsu Rongtai's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiangsu Rongtai stock have on its future price. Jiangsu Rongtai autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiangsu Rongtai autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiangsu Rongtai stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiangsu Rongtai Industry.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Rongtai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Rongtai security.