Huitong Construction (China) Market Value
| 603176 Stock | 4.94 0.13 2.56% |
| Symbol | Huitong |
Huitong Construction 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Huitong Construction's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Huitong Construction.
| 03/13/2023 |
| 03/02/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Huitong Construction on March 13, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Huitong Construction Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Huitong Construction over 720 days. Huitong Construction is related to or competes with Chongqing Sulian, Olympic Circuit, Shenzhen Zqgame, Citic Guoan, Tonghua Grape, Northking Information, and Yinbang Clad. Huitong Construction is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More
Huitong Construction Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Huitong Construction's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Huitong Construction Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.82 |
Huitong Construction Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Huitong Construction's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Huitong Construction's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Huitong Construction historical prices to predict the future Huitong Construction's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0035 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0531 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.21) |
Huitong Construction Backtested Returns
Huitong Construction holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0635, which attests that the entity had a -0.0635 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Huitong Construction exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Huitong Construction's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0035, standard deviation of 2.38, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.1, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Huitong Construction's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Huitong Construction is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Huitong Construction has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to check out Huitong Construction's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Huitong Construction performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
Huitong Construction Group has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Huitong Construction time series from 13th of March 2023 to 7th of March 2024 and 7th of March 2024 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Huitong Construction price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Huitong Construction price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.33 |
Huitong Construction lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Huitong Construction stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Huitong Construction's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Huitong Construction returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Huitong Construction has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Huitong Construction regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Huitong Construction stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Huitong Construction stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Huitong Construction stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Huitong Construction Lagged Returns
When evaluating Huitong Construction's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Huitong Construction stock have on its future price. Huitong Construction autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Huitong Construction autocorrelation shows the relationship between Huitong Construction stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Huitong Construction Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Huitong Stock
Huitong Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huitong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huitong with respect to the benefits of owning Huitong Construction security.