China Satellite (China) Market Value

601698 Stock   23.00  0.17  0.73%   
China Satellite's market value is the price at which a share of China Satellite trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Satellite Communications investors about its performance. China Satellite is trading at 23.00 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 0.73 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Satellite Communications and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Satellite over a given investment horizon. Check out China Satellite Correlation, China Satellite Volatility and China Satellite Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Satellite.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Satellite's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Satellite is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Satellite's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Satellite 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Satellite's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Satellite.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Satellite on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Satellite Communications or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Satellite over 720 days. China Satellite is related to or competes with New China, Ming Yang, Loctek Ergonomic, Shandong Ruifeng, Jiangsu Seagull, Inner Mongolia, and Shanghai Zhangjiang. China Satellite is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

China Satellite Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Satellite's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Satellite Communications upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Satellite Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Satellite's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Satellite's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Satellite historical prices to predict the future China Satellite's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7223.2827.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6222.1826.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7420.3024.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Satellite. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Satellite's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Satellite's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Satellite Comm.

China Satellite Comm Backtested Returns

China Satellite appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. China Satellite Comm secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which signifies that the company had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing China Satellite's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.91% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of China Satellite's Downside Deviation of 3.92, mean deviation of 3.12, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1401 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, China Satellite holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. China Satellite returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, China Satellite is expected to follow. Please check China Satellite's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether China Satellite's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

China Satellite Communications has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Satellite time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Satellite Comm price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current China Satellite price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.45

China Satellite Comm lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Satellite stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Satellite's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Satellite returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Satellite has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Satellite regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Satellite stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Satellite stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Satellite stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Satellite Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Satellite's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Satellite stock have on its future price. China Satellite autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Satellite autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Satellite stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Satellite Communications.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Satellite financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Satellite security.