Anhui Liuguo (China) Market Value

600470 Stock   6.19  0.07  1.12%   
Anhui Liuguo's market value is the price at which a share of Anhui Liuguo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Anhui Liuguo Chemical investors about its performance. Anhui Liuguo is trading at 6.19 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 1.12 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Anhui Liuguo Chemical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Anhui Liuguo over a given investment horizon. Check out Anhui Liuguo Correlation, Anhui Liuguo Volatility and Anhui Liuguo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Anhui Liuguo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Anhui Liuguo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anhui Liuguo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anhui Liuguo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Anhui Liuguo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Anhui Liuguo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Anhui Liuguo.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Anhui Liuguo on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Anhui Liuguo Chemical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Anhui Liuguo over 90 days. Anhui Liuguo is related to or competes with Youyou Foods Co, HaiXin Foods, Peoples Insurance, Ping An, Miracll Chemicals, Great Sun, and Muyuan Foodstuff. Anhui Liuguo is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Anhui Liuguo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Anhui Liuguo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Anhui Liuguo Chemical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Anhui Liuguo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Anhui Liuguo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Anhui Liuguo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Anhui Liuguo historical prices to predict the future Anhui Liuguo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.796.178.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.585.968.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.986.368.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.556.026.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anhui Liuguo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anhui Liuguo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anhui Liuguo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anhui Liuguo Chemical.

Anhui Liuguo Chemical Backtested Returns

At this point, Anhui Liuguo is somewhat reliable. Anhui Liuguo Chemical secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0414, which signifies that the company had a 0.0414 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Anhui Liuguo Chemical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Anhui Liuguo's mean deviation of 1.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0282 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0984%. Anhui Liuguo has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0831, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Anhui Liuguo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Anhui Liuguo is expected to be smaller as well. Anhui Liuguo Chemical right now shows a risk of 2.38%. Please confirm Anhui Liuguo Chemical downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Anhui Liuguo Chemical will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Anhui Liuguo Chemical has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Anhui Liuguo time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Anhui Liuguo Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Anhui Liuguo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Anhui Liuguo Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Anhui Liuguo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Anhui Liuguo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Anhui Liuguo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Anhui Liuguo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Anhui Liuguo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Anhui Liuguo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Anhui Liuguo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Anhui Liuguo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Anhui Liuguo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Anhui Liuguo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Anhui Liuguo stock have on its future price. Anhui Liuguo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Anhui Liuguo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Anhui Liuguo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Anhui Liuguo Chemical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock

Anhui Liuguo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Liuguo security.