Guodian Nanjing (China) Market Value

600268 Stock   7.37  0.18  2.38%   
Guodian Nanjing's market value is the price at which a share of Guodian Nanjing trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guodian Nanjing Automation investors about its performance. Guodian Nanjing is trading at 7.37 as of the 3rd of March 2025, a 2.38 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 7.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guodian Nanjing Automation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guodian Nanjing over a given investment horizon. Check out Guodian Nanjing Correlation, Guodian Nanjing Volatility and Guodian Nanjing Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guodian Nanjing.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guodian Nanjing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guodian Nanjing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guodian Nanjing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guodian Nanjing 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guodian Nanjing's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guodian Nanjing.
0.00
03/14/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/03/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guodian Nanjing on March 14, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guodian Nanjing Automation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guodian Nanjing over 720 days. Guodian Nanjing is related to or competes with Fujian Longzhou, Hunan TV, Shaanxi Broadcast, Porton Fine, Anshan Senyuan, Dymatic Chemicals, and Silkroad Visual. Guodian Nanjing is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Guodian Nanjing Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guodian Nanjing's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guodian Nanjing Automation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guodian Nanjing Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guodian Nanjing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guodian Nanjing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guodian Nanjing historical prices to predict the future Guodian Nanjing's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.537.399.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.166.027.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.427.289.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guodian Nanjing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guodian Nanjing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guodian Nanjing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guodian Nanjing Auto.

Guodian Nanjing Auto Backtested Returns

At this point, Guodian Nanjing is somewhat reliable. Guodian Nanjing Auto holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0539, which attests that the entity had a 0.0539 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Guodian Nanjing Auto, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Guodian Nanjing's Downside Deviation of 1.94, risk adjusted performance of 0.0367, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.25) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. Guodian Nanjing has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guodian Nanjing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guodian Nanjing is likely to outperform the market. Guodian Nanjing Auto right now retains a risk of 1.88%. Please check out Guodian Nanjing downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Guodian Nanjing will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Guodian Nanjing Automation has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guodian Nanjing time series from 14th of March 2023 to 8th of March 2024 and 8th of March 2024 to 3rd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guodian Nanjing Auto price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Guodian Nanjing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.57

Guodian Nanjing Auto lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guodian Nanjing stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guodian Nanjing's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guodian Nanjing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guodian Nanjing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guodian Nanjing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guodian Nanjing stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guodian Nanjing stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guodian Nanjing stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guodian Nanjing Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guodian Nanjing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guodian Nanjing stock have on its future price. Guodian Nanjing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guodian Nanjing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guodian Nanjing stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guodian Nanjing Automation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guodian Stock

Guodian Nanjing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guodian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guodian with respect to the benefits of owning Guodian Nanjing security.