Chailease Holding (Taiwan) Market Value

5871 Stock  TWD 122.50  1.50  1.24%   
Chailease Holding's market value is the price at which a share of Chailease Holding trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chailease Holding Co investors about its performance. Chailease Holding is selling for under 122.50 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 1.24 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 121.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chailease Holding Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chailease Holding over a given investment horizon. Check out Chailease Holding Correlation, Chailease Holding Volatility and Chailease Holding Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chailease Holding.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chailease Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chailease Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chailease Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chailease Holding 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chailease Holding's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chailease Holding.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chailease Holding on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chailease Holding Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chailease Holding over 90 days. Chailease Holding is related to or competes with Fubon Financial, CTBC Financial, Mega Financial, Cathay Financial, and ESUN Financial. Chailease Holding Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides various leasing and financing services in Tai... More

Chailease Holding Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chailease Holding's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chailease Holding Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chailease Holding Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chailease Holding's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chailease Holding's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chailease Holding historical prices to predict the future Chailease Holding's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.70122.50124.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.84101.64134.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
113.83115.64117.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.36120.07131.78
Details

Chailease Holding Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Chailease Stock to be very steady. Chailease Holding secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0789, which signifies that the company had a 0.0789 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Chailease Holding Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Chailease Holding's mean deviation of 1.27, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0188 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Chailease Holding has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chailease Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chailease Holding is likely to outperform the market. Chailease Holding right now shows a risk of 1.8%. Please confirm Chailease Holding mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Chailease Holding will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

Chailease Holding Co has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chailease Holding time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chailease Holding price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Chailease Holding price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.68

Chailease Holding lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chailease Holding stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chailease Holding's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chailease Holding returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chailease Holding has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chailease Holding regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chailease Holding stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chailease Holding stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chailease Holding stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chailease Holding Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chailease Holding's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chailease Holding stock have on its future price. Chailease Holding autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chailease Holding autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chailease Holding stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chailease Holding Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Chailease Stock Analysis

When running Chailease Holding's price analysis, check to measure Chailease Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chailease Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Chailease Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chailease Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chailease Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chailease Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.