Digital Turbine (Germany) Market Value
4MD Stock | EUR 1.97 0.04 2.07% |
Symbol | Digital |
Digital Turbine 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Digital Turbine's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Digital Turbine.
12/09/2024 |
| 01/08/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Digital Turbine on December 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Digital Turbine or generate 0.0% return on investment in Digital Turbine over 30 days. Digital Turbine is related to or competes with ARDAGH METAL, Phibro Animal, Yuexiu Transport, Aluminumof China, ADRIATIC METALS, GREENX METALS, and PURETECH HEALTH. Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides media and mobile communication products and solutions for mobi... More
Digital Turbine Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Digital Turbine's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Digital Turbine upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 69.91 | |||
Value At Risk | (8.39) | |||
Potential Upside | 13.01 |
Digital Turbine Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Digital Turbine's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Digital Turbine's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Digital Turbine historical prices to predict the future Digital Turbine's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.14) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.1865 |
Digital Turbine Backtested Returns
Digital Turbine secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.019, which denotes the company had a -0.019% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Digital Turbine exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Digital Turbine's Variance of 74.62, mean deviation of 5.3, and Standard Deviation of 8.64 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.73, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Digital Turbine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Digital Turbine is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Digital Turbine has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Digital Turbine's coefficient of variation, variance, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Digital Turbine performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
Digital Turbine has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Digital Turbine time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Digital Turbine price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Digital Turbine price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.86 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.02 |
Digital Turbine lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Digital Turbine stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Digital Turbine's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Digital Turbine returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Digital Turbine has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Digital Turbine regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Digital Turbine stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Digital Turbine stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Digital Turbine stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Digital Turbine Lagged Returns
When evaluating Digital Turbine's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Digital Turbine stock have on its future price. Digital Turbine autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Digital Turbine autocorrelation shows the relationship between Digital Turbine stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Digital Turbine.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Digital Stock
When determining whether Digital Turbine is a strong investment it is important to analyze Digital Turbine's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Digital Turbine's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Digital Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Digital Turbine Correlation, Digital Turbine Volatility and Digital Turbine Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Digital Turbine. For more detail on how to invest in Digital Stock please use our How to Invest in Digital Turbine guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Digital Turbine technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.