CaixaBank (Germany) Market Value

48CA Stock  EUR 5.04  0.11  2.14%   
CaixaBank's market value is the price at which a share of CaixaBank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CaixaBank SA investors about its performance. CaixaBank is trading at 5.04 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 2.14% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 5.04.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CaixaBank SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CaixaBank over a given investment horizon. Check out CaixaBank Correlation, CaixaBank Volatility and CaixaBank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CaixaBank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CaixaBank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CaixaBank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CaixaBank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CaixaBank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CaixaBank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CaixaBank.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 25 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CaixaBank on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CaixaBank SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in CaixaBank over 390 days. CaixaBank is related to or competes with BNP Paribas, BNP PARIBAS, Intesa Sanpaolo, Lloyds Banking, Lloyds Banking, UniCredit SpA, and Crdit Agricole. CaixaBank, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in Spain and inter... More

CaixaBank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CaixaBank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CaixaBank SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CaixaBank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CaixaBank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CaixaBank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CaixaBank historical prices to predict the future CaixaBank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.185.046.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.504.366.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.215.076.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.965.175.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CaixaBank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CaixaBank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CaixaBank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CaixaBank SA.

CaixaBank SA Backtested Returns

CaixaBank SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0395, which signifies that the company had a -0.0395% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CaixaBank SA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CaixaBank's Mean Deviation of 1.45, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 1.87 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CaixaBank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CaixaBank is likely to outperform the market. At this point, CaixaBank SA has a negative expected return of -0.0734%. Please make sure to confirm CaixaBank's standard deviation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and information ratio , to decide if CaixaBank SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

CaixaBank SA has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CaixaBank time series from 28th of November 2023 to 10th of June 2024 and 10th of June 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CaixaBank SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current CaixaBank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

CaixaBank SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CaixaBank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CaixaBank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CaixaBank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CaixaBank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CaixaBank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CaixaBank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CaixaBank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CaixaBank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CaixaBank Lagged Returns

When evaluating CaixaBank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CaixaBank stock have on its future price. CaixaBank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CaixaBank autocorrelation shows the relationship between CaixaBank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CaixaBank SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in CaixaBank Stock

CaixaBank financial ratios help investors to determine whether CaixaBank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CaixaBank with respect to the benefits of owning CaixaBank security.