Live Nation (Germany) Market Value

3LN Stock  EUR 135.40  1.75  1.28%   
Live Nation's market value is the price at which a share of Live Nation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Live Nation Entertainment investors about its performance. Live Nation is trading at 135.40 as of the 1st of March 2025. This is a 1.28 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 135.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Live Nation Entertainment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Live Nation over a given investment horizon. Check out Live Nation Correlation, Live Nation Volatility and Live Nation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Live Nation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Live Nation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Live Nation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Live Nation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Live Nation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Live Nation's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Live Nation.
0.00
01/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Live Nation on January 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Live Nation Entertainment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Live Nation over 30 days. Live Nation is related to or competes with Taylor Morn, Sporting Clube, CAIRN HOMES, JD SPORTS, and American Homes. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company More

Live Nation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Live Nation's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Live Nation Entertainment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Live Nation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Live Nation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Live Nation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Live Nation historical prices to predict the future Live Nation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
134.06135.40136.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.11135.45136.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.92130.25131.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
134.68142.22149.77
Details

Live Nation Entertainment Backtested Returns

At this point, Live Nation is very steady. Live Nation Entertainment has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0512, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0512 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Live Nation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Live Nation's Mean Deviation of 0.9433, risk adjusted performance of 0.0359, and Downside Deviation of 1.83 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0684%. Live Nation has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Live Nation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Live Nation is expected to be smaller as well. Live Nation Entertainment right now secures a risk of 1.34%. Please verify Live Nation Entertainment jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Live Nation Entertainment will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.32  

Poor reverse predictability

Live Nation Entertainment has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Live Nation time series from 30th of January 2025 to 14th of February 2025 and 14th of February 2025 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Live Nation Entertainment price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Live Nation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.32
Spearman Rank Test-0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance23.12

Live Nation Entertainment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Live Nation stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Live Nation's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Live Nation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Live Nation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Live Nation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Live Nation stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Live Nation stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Live Nation stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Live Nation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Live Nation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Live Nation stock have on its future price. Live Nation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Live Nation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Live Nation stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Live Nation Entertainment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Live Stock

When determining whether Live Nation Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Live Nation's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Live Nation's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Live Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Live Nation Correlation, Live Nation Volatility and Live Nation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Live Nation.
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Live Nation technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Live Nation technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Live Nation trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...