ZongTai Real (Taiwan) Market Value

3056 Stock  TWD 31.85  0.45  1.39%   
ZongTai Real's market value is the price at which a share of ZongTai Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ZongTai Real Estate investors about its performance. ZongTai Real is selling for under 31.85 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 1.39 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 31.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ZongTai Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ZongTai Real over a given investment horizon. Check out ZongTai Real Correlation, ZongTai Real Volatility and ZongTai Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ZongTai Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ZongTai Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZongTai Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZongTai Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ZongTai Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ZongTai Real's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ZongTai Real.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ZongTai Real on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ZongTai Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in ZongTai Real over 30 days. ZongTai Real is related to or competes with Hung Sheng, Chainqui Construction, BES Engineering, Long Bon, and Sincere Navigation. ZongTai Real Estate Development Co., Ltd More

ZongTai Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ZongTai Real's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ZongTai Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ZongTai Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ZongTai Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ZongTai Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ZongTai Real historical prices to predict the future ZongTai Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.4231.8533.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4930.9232.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.0630.4931.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.4433.8436.24
Details

ZongTai Real Estate Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider ZongTai Stock to be very steady. ZongTai Real Estate shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0053, which attests that the company had a 0.0053% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for ZongTai Real Estate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out ZongTai Real's Standard Deviation of 1.74, mean deviation of 1.18, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.07) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0076%. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.0565, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ZongTai Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ZongTai Real is expected to be smaller as well. ZongTai Real Estate right now maintains a risk of 1.43%. Please check out ZongTai Real Estate total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if ZongTai Real Estate will be following its historical returns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

ZongTai Real Estate has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ZongTai Real time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ZongTai Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current ZongTai Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.97

ZongTai Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ZongTai Real stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ZongTai Real's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ZongTai Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ZongTai Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ZongTai Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ZongTai Real stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ZongTai Real stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ZongTai Real stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ZongTai Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating ZongTai Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ZongTai Real stock have on its future price. ZongTai Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ZongTai Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between ZongTai Real stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ZongTai Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for ZongTai Stock Analysis

When running ZongTai Real's price analysis, check to measure ZongTai Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZongTai Real is operating at the current time. Most of ZongTai Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZongTai Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZongTai Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZongTai Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.