Chenming Mold (Taiwan) Market Value
| 3013 Stock | TWD 137.00 4.50 3.40% |
| Symbol | Chenming |
Chenming Mold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chenming Mold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chenming Mold.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Chenming Mold on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chenming Mold Industrial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chenming Mold over 90 days. Chenming Mold is related to or competes with Clevo, Zinwell, Min Aik, Promise Technology, and Spirox Corp. Chenming Mold Ind. Corporation manufactures and sells various mechanical parts in Asia and North America. More
Chenming Mold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chenming Mold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chenming Mold Industrial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0315 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.01) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.23 |
Chenming Mold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chenming Mold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chenming Mold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chenming Mold historical prices to predict the future Chenming Mold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0063 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3698 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2003 |
Chenming Mold Industrial Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Chenming Stock to be very steady. Chenming Mold Industrial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Chenming Mold Industrial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Chenming Mold's risk adjusted performance of 0.0063, and Mean Deviation of 2.16 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0223%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0641, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chenming Mold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chenming Mold is likely to outperform the market. Chenming Mold Industrial right now shows a risk of 3.12%. Please confirm Chenming Mold Industrial market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Chenming Mold Industrial will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.87 |
Very good predictability
Chenming Mold Industrial has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chenming Mold time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chenming Mold Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Chenming Mold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.87 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.47 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 51.81 |
Chenming Mold Industrial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Chenming Mold stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chenming Mold's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chenming Mold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chenming Mold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Chenming Mold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chenming Mold stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chenming Mold stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chenming Mold stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Chenming Mold Lagged Returns
When evaluating Chenming Mold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chenming Mold stock have on its future price. Chenming Mold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chenming Mold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chenming Mold stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chenming Mold Industrial.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Chenming Stock Analysis
When running Chenming Mold's price analysis, check to measure Chenming Mold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chenming Mold is operating at the current time. Most of Chenming Mold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chenming Mold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chenming Mold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chenming Mold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.