Jiangsu Apon (China) Market Value

300753 Stock   19.51  0.55  2.74%   
Jiangsu Apon's market value is the price at which a share of Jiangsu Apon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiangsu Apon Medical investors about its performance. Jiangsu Apon is trading at 19.51 as of the 20th of January 2025, a 2.74% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 20.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiangsu Apon Medical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiangsu Apon over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiangsu Apon Correlation, Jiangsu Apon Volatility and Jiangsu Apon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiangsu Apon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiangsu Apon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiangsu Apon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiangsu Apon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiangsu Apon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiangsu Apon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiangsu Apon.
0.00
12/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiangsu Apon on December 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiangsu Apon Medical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiangsu Apon over 30 days. Jiangsu Apon is related to or competes with Chengdu B, Shengda Mining, JiShi Media, Uroica Mining, Jinhui Mining, Changjiang Publishing, and Western Mining. More

Jiangsu Apon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiangsu Apon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiangsu Apon Medical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiangsu Apon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiangsu Apon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiangsu Apon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiangsu Apon historical prices to predict the future Jiangsu Apon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9319.5125.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0315.6121.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5621.1426.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7419.2921.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu Apon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu Apon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu Apon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu Apon Medical.

Jiangsu Apon Medical Backtested Returns

Jiangsu Apon appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Jiangsu Apon Medical holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0912, which attests that the entity had a 0.0912 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Jiangsu Apon's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Jiangsu Apon's Downside Deviation of 4.91, risk adjusted performance of 0.0847, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.06) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jiangsu Apon holds a performance score of 7. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.47, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jiangsu Apon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jiangsu Apon is likely to outperform the market. Please check Jiangsu Apon's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Jiangsu Apon's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

Jiangsu Apon Medical has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiangsu Apon time series from 21st of December 2024 to 5th of January 2025 and 5th of January 2025 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiangsu Apon Medical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Jiangsu Apon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.78

Jiangsu Apon Medical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiangsu Apon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiangsu Apon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiangsu Apon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiangsu Apon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Apon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiangsu Apon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiangsu Apon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiangsu Apon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Apon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiangsu Apon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiangsu Apon stock have on its future price. Jiangsu Apon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiangsu Apon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiangsu Apon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiangsu Apon Medical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Apon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Apon security.