Guangdong Jinming (China) Market Value

300281 Stock   6.37  0.16  2.45%   
Guangdong Jinming's market value is the price at which a share of Guangdong Jinming trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guangdong Jinming Machinery investors about its performance. Guangdong Jinming is trading at 6.37 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 2.45 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.53.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guangdong Jinming Machinery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guangdong Jinming over a given investment horizon. Check out Guangdong Jinming Correlation, Guangdong Jinming Volatility and Guangdong Jinming Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guangdong Jinming.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guangdong Jinming's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guangdong Jinming is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guangdong Jinming's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guangdong Jinming 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guangdong Jinming's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guangdong Jinming.
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12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
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If you would invest  0.00  in Guangdong Jinming on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guangdong Jinming Machinery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guangdong Jinming over 90 days. Guangdong Jinming is related to or competes with Eastroc Beverage, Zhejiang Publishing, Changjiang Publishing, Kidswant Children, Chinese Universe, China National, and Guangzhou Zhujiang. Guangdong Jinming is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Guangdong Jinming Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guangdong Jinming's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guangdong Jinming Machinery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guangdong Jinming Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guangdong Jinming's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guangdong Jinming's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guangdong Jinming historical prices to predict the future Guangdong Jinming's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.096.528.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.825.257.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.156.589.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangdong Jinming. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangdong Jinming's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangdong Jinming's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangdong Jinming.

Guangdong Jinming Backtested Returns

At this point, Guangdong Jinming is slightly risky. Guangdong Jinming holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0165, which attests that the entity had a 0.0165 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Guangdong Jinming, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Guangdong Jinming's market risk adjusted performance of 0.2884, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0402%. Guangdong Jinming has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.27, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guangdong Jinming are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guangdong Jinming is likely to outperform the market. Guangdong Jinming right now retains a risk of 2.43%. Please check out Guangdong Jinming market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Guangdong Jinming will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Guangdong Jinming Machinery has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guangdong Jinming time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guangdong Jinming price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Guangdong Jinming price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Guangdong Jinming lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guangdong Jinming stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guangdong Jinming's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guangdong Jinming returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guangdong Jinming has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Jinming regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guangdong Jinming stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guangdong Jinming stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guangdong Jinming stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Jinming Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guangdong Jinming's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guangdong Jinming stock have on its future price. Guangdong Jinming autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guangdong Jinming autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guangdong Jinming stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guangdong Jinming Machinery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Jinming financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Jinming security.