DFDS AS (Germany) Market Value

29K Stock  EUR 16.89  0.70  4.32%   
DFDS AS's market value is the price at which a share of DFDS AS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DFDS AS investors about its performance. DFDS AS is trading at 16.89 as of the 21st of December 2024. This is a 4.32 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 16.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DFDS AS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in DFDS AS over a given investment horizon. Check out DFDS AS Correlation, DFDS AS Volatility and DFDS AS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on DFDS AS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between DFDS AS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DFDS AS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DFDS AS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

DFDS AS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to DFDS AS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of DFDS AS.
0.00
10/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in DFDS AS on October 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DFDS AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in DFDS AS over 60 days. DFDS AS is related to or competes with T MOBILE, Boston Beer, Iridium Communications, Monster Beverage, MAVEN WIRELESS, and China Resources. DFDS AS provides logistics solutions in Denmark and internationally More

DFDS AS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure DFDS AS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DFDS AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

DFDS AS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for DFDS AS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as DFDS AS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use DFDS AS historical prices to predict the future DFDS AS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5816.8919.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9618.2720.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7615.0717.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7118.3319.95
Details

DFDS AS Backtested Returns

DFDS AS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which denotes the company had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. DFDS AS exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm DFDS AS's Variance of 5.26, standard deviation of 2.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.73 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, DFDS AS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding DFDS AS is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, DFDS AS has a negative expected return of -0.42%. Please make sure to confirm DFDS AS's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if DFDS AS performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

DFDS AS has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between DFDS AS time series from 22nd of October 2024 to 21st of November 2024 and 21st of November 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DFDS AS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current DFDS AS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.61

DFDS AS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is DFDS AS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting DFDS AS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of DFDS AS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that DFDS AS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

DFDS AS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If DFDS AS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if DFDS AS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in DFDS AS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

DFDS AS Lagged Returns

When evaluating DFDS AS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of DFDS AS stock have on its future price. DFDS AS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, DFDS AS autocorrelation shows the relationship between DFDS AS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DFDS AS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in DFDS Stock

DFDS AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether DFDS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DFDS with respect to the benefits of owning DFDS AS security.