Huaku Development (Taiwan) Market Value

2548 Stock  TWD 116.00  2.50  2.11%   
Huaku Development's market value is the price at which a share of Huaku Development trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Huaku Development Co investors about its performance. Huaku Development is selling for under 116.00 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 2.11 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 115.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Huaku Development Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Huaku Development over a given investment horizon. Check out Huaku Development Correlation, Huaku Development Volatility and Huaku Development Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Huaku Development.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Huaku Development's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huaku Development is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huaku Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Huaku Development 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Huaku Development's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Huaku Development.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Huaku Development on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Huaku Development Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Huaku Development over 90 days. Huaku Development is related to or competes with Chong Hong, Highwealth Construction, Fubon Financial, CTBC Financial, and Farglory Land. Huaku Development Co., Ltd. constructs, rents, and sells residential and commercial buildings in Taiwan and China More

Huaku Development Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Huaku Development's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Huaku Development Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Huaku Development Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Huaku Development's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Huaku Development's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Huaku Development historical prices to predict the future Huaku Development's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.20116.00117.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.4397.23127.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
113.50115.30117.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.51114.22121.93
Details

Huaku Development Backtested Returns

Huaku Development holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Huaku Development exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Huaku Development's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0972 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.38, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Huaku Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Huaku Development is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Huaku Development has a negative expected return of -0.0139%. Please make sure to check out Huaku Development's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Huaku Development performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Huaku Development Co has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Huaku Development time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Huaku Development price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Huaku Development price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.8

Huaku Development lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Huaku Development stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Huaku Development's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Huaku Development returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Huaku Development has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Huaku Development regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Huaku Development stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Huaku Development stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Huaku Development stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Huaku Development Lagged Returns

When evaluating Huaku Development's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Huaku Development stock have on its future price. Huaku Development autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Huaku Development autocorrelation shows the relationship between Huaku Development stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Huaku Development Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Huaku Stock Analysis

When running Huaku Development's price analysis, check to measure Huaku Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huaku Development is operating at the current time. Most of Huaku Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huaku Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huaku Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huaku Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.