Realtek Semiconductor (Taiwan) Market Value

2379 Stock  TWD 545.00  16.00  2.85%   
Realtek Semiconductor's market value is the price at which a share of Realtek Semiconductor trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Realtek Semiconductor Corp investors about its performance. Realtek Semiconductor is selling for under 545.00 as of the 28th of March 2025; that is 2.85% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 545.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Realtek Semiconductor Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Realtek Semiconductor over a given investment horizon. Check out Realtek Semiconductor Correlation, Realtek Semiconductor Volatility and Realtek Semiconductor Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Realtek Semiconductor.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Realtek Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Realtek Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Realtek Semiconductor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Realtek Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Realtek Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Realtek Semiconductor.
0.00
12/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/28/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Realtek Semiconductor on December 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Realtek Semiconductor Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Realtek Semiconductor over 90 days. Realtek Semiconductor is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, MediaTek, VIA Technologies, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, develops, and distributes various IC products for communications network, computer ... More

Realtek Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Realtek Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Realtek Semiconductor Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Realtek Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Realtek Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Realtek Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Realtek Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Realtek Semiconductor's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
543.17545.00546.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
541.67543.50545.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
567.70569.53571.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
535.27551.20567.13
Details

Realtek Semiconductor Backtested Returns

Realtek Semiconductor maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0252, which implies the firm had a -0.0252 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Realtek Semiconductor exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Realtek Semiconductor's Coefficient Of Variation of 3848.22, risk adjusted performance of 0.027, and Semi Deviation of 1.75 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Realtek Semiconductor's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Realtek Semiconductor is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Realtek Semiconductor has a negative expected return of -0.046%. Please make sure to check Realtek Semiconductor's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Realtek Semiconductor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Realtek Semiconductor Corp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Realtek Semiconductor time series from 28th of December 2024 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 28th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Realtek Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Realtek Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance62.66
Realtek ReturnsRealtek Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayRealtek ReturnsRealtek Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Realtek Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Realtek Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Realtek Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Realtek Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Realtek Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 11Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26MarMar 08Mar 13Mar 18Mar 23-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2% 101001K
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
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Realtek Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Realtek Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Realtek Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Realtek Semiconductor stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 11Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26MarMar 08Mar 13Mar 18Mar 23540545550555
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Realtek Semiconductor Lagged Returns

When evaluating Realtek Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Realtek Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Realtek Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Realtek Semiconductor Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152025FebMar520530540550560
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Realtek Stock Analysis

When running Realtek Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Realtek Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Realtek Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Realtek Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Realtek Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Realtek Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Realtek Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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