Realtek Semiconductor (Taiwan) Market Value
| 2379 Stock | TWD 538.00 16.00 2.89% |
| Symbol | Realtek |
Realtek Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Realtek Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Realtek Semiconductor.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Realtek Semiconductor on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Realtek Semiconductor Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Realtek Semiconductor over 90 days. Realtek Semiconductor is related to or competes with Novatek Microelectronics, MediaTek, VIA Technologies, Quanta Computer, and United Microelectronics. Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, develops, and distributes various IC products for communications network, computer ... More
Realtek Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Realtek Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Realtek Semiconductor Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1638 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.33 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.36 |
Realtek Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Realtek Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Realtek Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Realtek Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Realtek Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.101 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1878 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4225 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1636 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.77) |
Realtek Semiconductor Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Realtek Stock to be very steady. Realtek Semiconductor maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0179, which implies the firm had a 0.0179 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Realtek Semiconductor, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Realtek Semiconductor's Coefficient Of Variation of 909.3, risk adjusted performance of 0.101, and Semi Deviation of 1.68 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0326%. Realtek Semiconductor has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.0403, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Realtek Semiconductor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Realtek Semiconductor is likely to outperform the market. Realtek Semiconductor right now holds a risk of 1.82%. Please check Realtek Semiconductor semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Realtek Semiconductor will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
Realtek Semiconductor Corp has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Realtek Semiconductor time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Realtek Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Realtek Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 75.73 |
Realtek Semiconductor lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Realtek Semiconductor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Realtek Semiconductor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Realtek Semiconductor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Realtek Semiconductor has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Realtek Semiconductor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Realtek Semiconductor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Realtek Semiconductor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Realtek Semiconductor stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Realtek Semiconductor Lagged Returns
When evaluating Realtek Semiconductor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Realtek Semiconductor stock have on its future price. Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Realtek Semiconductor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Realtek Semiconductor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Realtek Semiconductor Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Realtek Stock Analysis
When running Realtek Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Realtek Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Realtek Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Realtek Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Realtek Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Realtek Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Realtek Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.