Macronix International (Taiwan) Market Value

2337 Stock  TWD 21.90  1.45  7.09%   
Macronix International's market value is the price at which a share of Macronix International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Macronix International Co investors about its performance. Macronix International is selling for under 21.90 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 7.09 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 20.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Macronix International Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Macronix International over a given investment horizon. Check out Macronix International Correlation, Macronix International Volatility and Macronix International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Macronix International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Macronix International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macronix International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macronix International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macronix International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Macronix International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Macronix International.
0.00
09/06/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Macronix International on September 6, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Macronix International Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Macronix International over 90 days. Macronix International is related to or competes with Winbond Electronics, United Microelectronics, Mosel Vitelic, VIA Technologies, and Compal Electronics. Macronix International Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and supply of integ... More

Macronix International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Macronix International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Macronix International Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Macronix International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Macronix International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Macronix International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Macronix International historical prices to predict the future Macronix International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.9721.9023.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9122.8424.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.3621.2823.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9621.4822.00
Details

Macronix International Backtested Returns

Macronix International has Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which conveys that the firm had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macronix International exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Macronix International's Mean Deviation of 1.54, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Standard Deviation of 2.15 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.96, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Macronix International returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Macronix International is expected to follow. At this point, Macronix International has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to verify Macronix International's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Macronix International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

Macronix International Co has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Macronix International time series from 6th of September 2024 to 21st of October 2024 and 21st of October 2024 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Macronix International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Macronix International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.98

Macronix International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Macronix International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Macronix International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Macronix International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Macronix International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Macronix International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Macronix International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Macronix International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Macronix International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Macronix International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Macronix International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Macronix International stock have on its future price. Macronix International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Macronix International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Macronix International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Macronix International Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Macronix Stock Analysis

When running Macronix International's price analysis, check to measure Macronix International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macronix International is operating at the current time. Most of Macronix International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macronix International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macronix International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macronix International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.