San Fang (Taiwan) Market Value

1307 Stock  TWD 38.05  0.05  0.13%   
San Fang's market value is the price at which a share of San Fang trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of San Fang Chemical investors about its performance. San Fang is selling for under 38.05 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 0.13 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 37.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of San Fang Chemical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in San Fang over a given investment horizon. Check out San Fang Correlation, San Fang Volatility and San Fang Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on San Fang.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between San Fang's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if San Fang is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, San Fang's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

San Fang 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to San Fang's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of San Fang.
0.00
10/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in San Fang on October 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding San Fang Chemical or generate 0.0% return on investment in San Fang over 60 days. San Fang is related to or competes with Asia Polymer, Taiwan Styrene, UPC Technology, USI Corp, and China General. San Fang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells artificial leather products in Taiwan and internationally More

San Fang Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure San Fang's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess San Fang Chemical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

San Fang Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for San Fang's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as San Fang's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use San Fang historical prices to predict the future San Fang's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.7138.0541.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.2233.5641.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.3740.7144.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.6538.8740.09
Details

San Fang Chemical Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider San Stock to be very steady. San Fang Chemical owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0089, which indicates the firm had a 0.0089% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for San Fang Chemical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate San Fang's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0364, coefficient of variation of 2537.0, and Semi Deviation of 2.72 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0295%. The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, San Fang's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding San Fang is expected to be smaller as well. San Fang Chemical right now has a risk of 3.34%. Please validate San Fang semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to decide if San Fang will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.58  

Good reverse predictability

San Fang Chemical has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between San Fang time series from 16th of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of San Fang Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current San Fang price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.03

San Fang Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is San Fang stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting San Fang's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of San Fang returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that San Fang has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

San Fang regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If San Fang stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if San Fang stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in San Fang stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

San Fang Lagged Returns

When evaluating San Fang's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of San Fang stock have on its future price. San Fang autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, San Fang autocorrelation shows the relationship between San Fang stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in San Fang Chemical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for San Stock Analysis

When running San Fang's price analysis, check to measure San Fang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy San Fang is operating at the current time. Most of San Fang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of San Fang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move San Fang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of San Fang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.