Dolly Varden (UK) Market Value

0USB Stock   1.12  0.02  1.82%   
Dolly Varden's market value is the price at which a share of Dolly Varden trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dolly Varden Silver investors about its performance. Dolly Varden is selling for under 1.12 as of the 17th of March 2025; that is 1.82% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dolly Varden Silver and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dolly Varden over a given investment horizon. Check out Dolly Varden Correlation, Dolly Varden Volatility and Dolly Varden Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dolly Varden.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dolly Varden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dolly Varden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dolly Varden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dolly Varden 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dolly Varden's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dolly Varden.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dolly Varden on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dolly Varden Silver or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dolly Varden over 90 days. Dolly Varden is related to or competes with Edinburgh Investment, Universal Display, Scottish American, Cairo Communication, Primorus Investments, Lindsell Train, and Tavistock Investments. Dolly Varden is entity of United Kingdom More

Dolly Varden Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dolly Varden's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dolly Varden Silver upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dolly Varden Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dolly Varden's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dolly Varden's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dolly Varden historical prices to predict the future Dolly Varden's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.105.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.964.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.045.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.961.051.14
Details

Dolly Varden Silver Backtested Returns

Dolly Varden appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Dolly Varden Silver secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Dolly Varden's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.65% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Dolly Varden's Mean Deviation of 3.34, downside deviation of 3.9, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2278.85 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Dolly Varden holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.83, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dolly Varden are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dolly Varden is likely to outperform the market. Please check Dolly Varden's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Dolly Varden's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

Dolly Varden Silver has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dolly Varden time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dolly Varden Silver price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Dolly Varden price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Dolly Varden Silver lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dolly Varden stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dolly Varden's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dolly Varden returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dolly Varden has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dolly Varden regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dolly Varden stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dolly Varden stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dolly Varden stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dolly Varden Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dolly Varden's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dolly Varden stock have on its future price. Dolly Varden autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dolly Varden autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dolly Varden stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dolly Varden Silver.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Dolly Stock Analysis

When running Dolly Varden's price analysis, check to measure Dolly Varden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dolly Varden is operating at the current time. Most of Dolly Varden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dolly Varden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dolly Varden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dolly Varden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.