Delta Air (UK) Market Value

0QZ4 Stock   46.15  1.99  4.51%   
Delta Air's market value is the price at which a share of Delta Air trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Delta Air Lines investors about its performance. Delta Air is selling for under 46.15 as of the 17th of March 2025; that is 4.51% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 44.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Delta Air Lines and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Delta Air over a given investment horizon. Check out Delta Air Correlation, Delta Air Volatility and Delta Air Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Delta Air.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Delta Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delta Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delta Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Delta Air 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Delta Air's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Delta Air.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Delta Air on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Delta Air Lines or generate 0.0% return on investment in Delta Air over 90 days. Delta Air is related to or competes with Tetragon Financial, Ecofin Global, Bank of Ireland, Cembra Money, Tatton Asset, Sydbank, and TBC Bank. Delta Air is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Delta Air Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Delta Air's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Delta Air Lines upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Delta Air Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Delta Air's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Delta Air's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Delta Air historical prices to predict the future Delta Air's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.4444.9547.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.8743.3850.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.3540.8643.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.4059.1372.85
Details

Delta Air Lines Backtested Returns

Delta Air Lines secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which denotes the company had a -0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Delta Air Lines exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Delta Air's Mean Deviation of 1.86, standard deviation of 2.48, and Variance of 6.16 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.73, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Delta Air's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Delta Air is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Delta Air Lines has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm Delta Air's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Delta Air Lines performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Delta Air Lines has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Delta Air time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Delta Air Lines price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Delta Air price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance57.58

Delta Air Lines lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Delta Air stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Delta Air's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Delta Air returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Delta Air has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Delta Air regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Delta Air stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Delta Air stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Delta Air stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Delta Air Lagged Returns

When evaluating Delta Air's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Delta Air stock have on its future price. Delta Air autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Delta Air autocorrelation shows the relationship between Delta Air stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Delta Air Lines.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Delta Stock Analysis

When running Delta Air's price analysis, check to measure Delta Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delta Air is operating at the current time. Most of Delta Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delta Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delta Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delta Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.