Costco Wholesale's market value is the price at which a share of Costco Wholesale trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Costco Wholesale Corp investors about its performance. Costco Wholesale is selling for under 923.06 as of the 8th of January 2025; that is 0.28% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 916.27. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Costco Wholesale Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Costco Wholesale over a given investment horizon. Check out Costco Wholesale Correlation, Costco Wholesale Volatility and Costco Wholesale Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Costco Wholesale.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Costco Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Costco Wholesale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Costco Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Costco Wholesale 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Costco Wholesale's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Costco Wholesale.
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Costco Wholesale's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Costco Wholesale Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Costco Wholesale's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Costco Wholesale's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Costco Wholesale historical prices to predict the future Costco Wholesale's volatility.
Currently, Costco Wholesale Corp is very steady. Costco Wholesale Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0524, which signifies that the company had a 0.0524% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Costco Wholesale Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Costco Wholesale's Mean Deviation of 0.8232, downside deviation of 0.9566, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0447 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0567%. Costco Wholesale has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.3, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Costco Wholesale's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Costco Wholesale is expected to be smaller as well. Costco Wholesale Corp right now shows a risk of 1.08%. Please confirm Costco Wholesale Corp jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Costco Wholesale Corp will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation
0.05
Virtually no predictability
Costco Wholesale Corp has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Costco Wholesale time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Costco Wholesale Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Costco Wholesale price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.05
Spearman Rank Test
-0.08
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
258.09
Costco Wholesale Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Costco Wholesale stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Costco Wholesale's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Costco Wholesale returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Costco Wholesale has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Costco Wholesale regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Costco Wholesale stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Costco Wholesale stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Costco Wholesale stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Costco Wholesale Lagged Returns
When evaluating Costco Wholesale's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Costco Wholesale stock have on its future price. Costco Wholesale autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Costco Wholesale autocorrelation shows the relationship between Costco Wholesale stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Costco Wholesale Corp.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When running Costco Wholesale's price analysis, check to measure Costco Wholesale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Costco Wholesale is operating at the current time. Most of Costco Wholesale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Costco Wholesale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Costco Wholesale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Costco Wholesale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.