Qiaoyin Environmental (China) Market Value

002973 Stock   11.42  0.31  2.79%   
Qiaoyin Environmental's market value is the price at which a share of Qiaoyin Environmental trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Qiaoyin Environmental Tech investors about its performance. Qiaoyin Environmental is trading at 11.42 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 2.79 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 11.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Qiaoyin Environmental Tech and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Qiaoyin Environmental over a given investment horizon. Check out Qiaoyin Environmental Correlation, Qiaoyin Environmental Volatility and Qiaoyin Environmental Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Qiaoyin Environmental.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Qiaoyin Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qiaoyin Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qiaoyin Environmental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Qiaoyin Environmental 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Qiaoyin Environmental's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Qiaoyin Environmental.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Qiaoyin Environmental on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Qiaoyin Environmental Tech or generate 0.0% return on investment in Qiaoyin Environmental over 30 days. Qiaoyin Environmental is related to or competes with Lutian Machinery, China Longyuan, PetroChina, Bank of China, Guangxi Guiguan, Yantai North, and Huaneng Lancang. Qiaoyin Environmental is entity of China More

Qiaoyin Environmental Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Qiaoyin Environmental's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Qiaoyin Environmental Tech upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Qiaoyin Environmental Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Qiaoyin Environmental's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Qiaoyin Environmental's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Qiaoyin Environmental historical prices to predict the future Qiaoyin Environmental's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.2811.4214.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.758.8912.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.7211.8715.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qiaoyin Environmental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qiaoyin Environmental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qiaoyin Environmental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qiaoyin Environmental.

Qiaoyin Environmental Backtested Returns

Qiaoyin Environmental appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Qiaoyin Environmental maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.22, which implies the firm had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Qiaoyin Environmental's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.69% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Qiaoyin Environmental's Semi Deviation of 2.41, coefficient of variation of 587.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1305 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Qiaoyin Environmental holds a performance score of 17. The company holds a Beta of -0.17, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Qiaoyin Environmental are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Qiaoyin Environmental is likely to outperform the market. Please check Qiaoyin Environmental's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Qiaoyin Environmental's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.68  

Very good reverse predictability

Qiaoyin Environmental Tech has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Qiaoyin Environmental time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Qiaoyin Environmental price movement. The serial correlation of -0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Qiaoyin Environmental price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.68
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Qiaoyin Environmental lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Qiaoyin Environmental stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Qiaoyin Environmental's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Qiaoyin Environmental returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Qiaoyin Environmental has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Qiaoyin Environmental regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Qiaoyin Environmental stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Qiaoyin Environmental stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Qiaoyin Environmental stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Qiaoyin Environmental Lagged Returns

When evaluating Qiaoyin Environmental's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Qiaoyin Environmental stock have on its future price. Qiaoyin Environmental autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Qiaoyin Environmental autocorrelation shows the relationship between Qiaoyin Environmental stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Qiaoyin Environmental Tech.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Qiaoyin Stock

Qiaoyin Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qiaoyin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qiaoyin with respect to the benefits of owning Qiaoyin Environmental security.