Der International (China) Market Value

002631 Stock   4.73  0.11  2.38%   
Der International's market value is the price at which a share of Der International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Der International Home investors about its performance. Der International is trading at 4.73 as of the 17th of March 2025, a 2.38 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Der International Home and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Der International over a given investment horizon. Check out Der International Correlation, Der International Volatility and Der International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Der International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Der International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Der International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Der International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Der International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Der International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Der International.
0.00
12/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Der International on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Der International Home or generate 0.0% return on investment in Der International over 90 days. Der International is related to or competes with Marssenger Kitchenware, Chahua Modern, Suzhou Douson, Yindu Kitchen, Fangda Special, and Kale Environmental. Der International is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Der International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Der International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Der International Home upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Der International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Der International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Der International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Der International historical prices to predict the future Der International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.044.728.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.293.977.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.244.918.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.094.524.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Der International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Der International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Der International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Der International Home.

Der International Home Backtested Returns

Der International Home secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0488, which denotes the company had a -0.0488 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Der International Home exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Der International's Variance of 14.28, standard deviation of 3.78, and Mean Deviation of 2.77 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Der International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Der International is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Der International Home has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm Der International's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Der International Home performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Der International Home has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Der International time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Der International Home price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Der International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test-0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Der International Home lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Der International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Der International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Der International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Der International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Der International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Der International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Der International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Der International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Der International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Der International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Der International stock have on its future price. Der International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Der International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Der International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Der International Home.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Der Stock

Der International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Der Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Der with respect to the benefits of owning Der International security.