Lier Chemical (China) Market Value

002258 Stock   8.95  0.03  0.34%   
Lier Chemical's market value is the price at which a share of Lier Chemical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lier Chemical Co investors about its performance. Lier Chemical is trading at 8.95 as of the 16th of March 2025, a 0.34 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lier Chemical Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lier Chemical over a given investment horizon. Check out Lier Chemical Correlation, Lier Chemical Volatility and Lier Chemical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lier Chemical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lier Chemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lier Chemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lier Chemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lier Chemical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lier Chemical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lier Chemical.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lier Chemical on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lier Chemical Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lier Chemical over 90 days. Lier Chemical is related to or competes with Ningbo Homelink, Elite Color, Arrow Home, Shanghai Shuixing, Fushun Special, Penyao Environmental, and UE Furniture. Lier Chemical is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Lier Chemical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lier Chemical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lier Chemical Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lier Chemical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lier Chemical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lier Chemical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lier Chemical historical prices to predict the future Lier Chemical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.608.9610.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.378.7310.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.019.3610.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lier Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lier Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lier Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lier Chemical.

Lier Chemical Backtested Returns

At this point, Lier Chemical is not too volatile. Lier Chemical has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0349, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0349 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Lier Chemical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Lier Chemical's Downside Deviation of 1.29, mean deviation of 1.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0291 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0473%. Lier Chemical has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.071, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lier Chemical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lier Chemical is expected to be smaller as well. Lier Chemical right now secures a risk of 1.36%. Please verify Lier Chemical Co downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Lier Chemical Co will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Lier Chemical Co has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lier Chemical time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lier Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Lier Chemical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Lier Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lier Chemical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lier Chemical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lier Chemical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lier Chemical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lier Chemical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lier Chemical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lier Chemical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lier Chemical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lier Chemical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lier Chemical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lier Chemical stock have on its future price. Lier Chemical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lier Chemical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lier Chemical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lier Chemical Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Lier Stock

Lier Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lier with respect to the benefits of owning Lier Chemical security.