LianChuang Electronic (China) Market Value

002036 Stock   10.92  0.18  1.68%   
LianChuang Electronic's market value is the price at which a share of LianChuang Electronic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LianChuang Electronic Technology investors about its performance. LianChuang Electronic is trading at 10.92 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 1.68 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 10.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LianChuang Electronic Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LianChuang Electronic over a given investment horizon. Check out LianChuang Electronic Correlation, LianChuang Electronic Volatility and LianChuang Electronic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LianChuang Electronic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LianChuang Electronic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LianChuang Electronic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LianChuang Electronic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LianChuang Electronic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LianChuang Electronic's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LianChuang Electronic.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LianChuang Electronic on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LianChuang Electronic Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in LianChuang Electronic over 30 days. LianChuang Electronic is related to or competes with Fiberhome Telecommunicatio, China Satellite, Guangzhou Haige, Sichuan Jinshi, State Grid, Tianjin Hi, and Qingdao Hi. LianChuang Electronic is entity of China More

LianChuang Electronic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LianChuang Electronic's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LianChuang Electronic Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LianChuang Electronic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LianChuang Electronic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LianChuang Electronic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LianChuang Electronic historical prices to predict the future LianChuang Electronic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.3010.9215.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.748.3612.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.3911.0115.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
00.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LianChuang Electronic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LianChuang Electronic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LianChuang Electronic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LianChuang Electronic.

LianChuang Electronic Backtested Returns

LianChuang Electronic appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. LianChuang Electronic has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing LianChuang Electronic's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.93% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise LianChuang Electronic's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1383, mean deviation of 3.93, and Downside Deviation of 5.06 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, LianChuang Electronic holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, LianChuang Electronic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LianChuang Electronic is expected to be smaller as well. Please check LianChuang Electronic's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether LianChuang Electronic's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.7  

Very good reverse predictability

LianChuang Electronic Technology has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LianChuang Electronic time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LianChuang Electronic price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current LianChuang Electronic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

LianChuang Electronic lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LianChuang Electronic stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LianChuang Electronic's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LianChuang Electronic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LianChuang Electronic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

LianChuang Electronic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LianChuang Electronic stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LianChuang Electronic stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LianChuang Electronic stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

LianChuang Electronic Lagged Returns

When evaluating LianChuang Electronic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LianChuang Electronic stock have on its future price. LianChuang Electronic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LianChuang Electronic autocorrelation shows the relationship between LianChuang Electronic stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LianChuang Electronic Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in LianChuang Stock

LianChuang Electronic financial ratios help investors to determine whether LianChuang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LianChuang with respect to the benefits of owning LianChuang Electronic security.