Is XPO Logistics Stock a Good Investment?
XPO Logistics Investment Advice | XPO |
- Examine XPO Logistics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research XPO Logistics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help XPO Logistics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Air Freight & Logistics space and any emerging trends that could impact XPO Logistics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare XPO Logistics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how XPO Logistics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if XPO Logistics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about XPO Logistics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in XPO Logistics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if XPO Logistics is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine XPO Logistics Stock
Researching XPO Logistics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.23. XPO Logistics had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1683:1000 split on the 1st of November 2022.
To determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding XPO Logistics' research are outlined below:
| XPO Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Primecap Management Co. CA Sells 8,900 Shares of XPO, Inc. |
XPO Logistics Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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XPO Logistics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in XPO Logistics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to XPO Logistics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 2nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 7th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact XPO Logistics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises XPO Logistics' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015-08-05 | 2015-06-30 | -0.14 | -0.16 | -0.02 | 14 | ||
2015-02-18 | 2014-12-31 | -0.13 | -0.1 | 0.03 | 23 | ||
2017-02-21 | 2016-12-31 | 0.2 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 20 | ||
2016-11-02 | 2016-09-30 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.04 | 10 | ||
2014-11-05 | 2014-09-30 | -0.17 | -0.13 | 0.04 | 23 | ||
2014-07-29 | 2014-06-30 | -0.26 | -0.22 | 0.04 | 15 | ||
2012-08-06 | 2012-06-30 | -0.21 | -0.17 | 0.04 | 19 | ||
2009-11-09 | 2009-09-30 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 50 |
Know XPO Logistics' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as XPO Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XPO Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. XPO Logistics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase XPO Logistics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Findlay Park Partners Llp | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | C2p Capital Advisory Group Llc Dba Prosperity Capital Advisors | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-12-31 | 13.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 11.8 M |
XPO Logistics' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 12.66 B.Market Cap |
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XPO Logistics' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | 0.25 |
Determining XPO Logistics' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if XPO Logistics is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures XPO Logistics' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of XPO Logistics' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
XPO Logistics' Earnings Breakdown by Geography
Evaluate XPO Logistics' management efficiency
XPO Logistics has Return on Asset of 0.0597 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0597 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.27 %, implying that it generated $0.27 on every 100 dollars invested. XPO Logistics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well XPO Logistics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 22nd of March 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.07. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.13. At this time, XPO Logistics' Return On Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of March 2025, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.78, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 5.2 B.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 13.80 | 11.16 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (1.91) | (2.00) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 16.09 | 8.34 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 9.50 | 9.98 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 16.09 | 8.34 | |
| Price Fair Value | 9.50 | 9.98 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6.9 B | 7.2 B |
Effective leadership at XPO Logistics drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Beta 1.983 |
Basic technical analysis of XPO Stock
As of the 22nd of March, XPO Logistics maintains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), standard deviation of 2.54, and Mean Deviation of 1.93. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of XPO Logistics, as well as the relationship between them.XPO Logistics' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific XPO Logistics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on XPO Logistics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases XPO Logistics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
XPO Logistics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
XPO Logistics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. XPO Logistics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most XPO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when XPO Logistics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| RXO 75 15 NOV 27 Corp BondUS98379JAA34 | View | |
| US98372MAC91 Corp BondUS98372MAC91 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View |
Understand XPO Logistics' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing XPO Logistics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.17) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9643 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (512.00) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9543 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 | |||
| Skewness | 0.0346 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.45 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.17) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9643 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (512.00) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9543 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.66 | |||
| Skewness | 0.0346 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.45 |
Consider XPO Logistics' intraday indicators
XPO Logistics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of XPO Logistics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
XPO Logistics Corporate Filings
F4 | 18th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 4th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 13th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
10K | 7th of February 2025 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
XPO Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about XPO Logistics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through XPO media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via XPO internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of XPO data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of XPO Logistics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of XPO Logistics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to XPO Logistics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive XPO Logistics alpha.
XPO Logistics Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards XPO Logistics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
XPO Logistics Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to XPO Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XPO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XPO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XPO Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
XPO Logistics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for XPO Logistics and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average XPO Logistics news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on XPO Logistics.
XPO Logistics Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts
XPO Logistics' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of XPO Logistics close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of XPO Logistics' options.
XPO Logistics Corporate Directors
| Adrian Kingshott | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Oren Shaffer | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Michael Jesselson | Lead Independent Director | Profile | |
| Jason Papastavrou | Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in XPO Logistics?
The danger of trading XPO Logistics is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of XPO Logistics is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than XPO Logistics. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile XPO Logistics is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether XPO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XPO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xpo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xpo Logistics Stock: Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in XPO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.335 | Earnings Share 3.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.